The San Diego Padres (10-11) visit the Arizona Diamondbacks (11-9) for the 2nd of a 4-game series Friday. First pitch from Chase Field is at 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Padres lead 2-1
The Padres won their 2nd straight game Thursday, picking up a 7-5 victory in the series opener. OF Trent Grisham broke a 5-5 tie in the top of the 6th with a 2-run double to give the Padres the lead, and the bullpen threw 3 scoreless frames to finish the game.
The Diamondbacks lost for the 2nd straight game as RHP Ryne Nelson allowed 5 runs on 3 hits and 3 walks in 5 innings. LHP Kyle Nelson gave up the 2-run double in the 6th to take the loss.
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Padres at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Seth Lugo vs. RHP Zac Gallen
Lugo (2-0, 2.70 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 5 BB and 17 K through 16 2/3 IP.
- Lasted only 3 1/3 IP in the last start, allowing 3 ER on 8 H and 1 BB with 5 K vs. the Milwaukee Brewers Saturday
- 0-1 with 4.34 ERA in 10 career appearances (1 start) vs. Arizona
Gallen (2-1, 3.33 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 24 1/3 IP.
- Has not allowed a run across 13 2/3 IP in his last 2 starts
- No-decision vs. Padres on April 4 in an 8-6 win, allowing 5 R (4 ER), 7 H and 1 BB with 3 K over 6 IP
Padres at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:27 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+140) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Padres at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 5, Padres 3
Moneyline
The Padres plated 7 runs Thursday but had only scored 2 total runs in their previous 4 games.
Gallen has found his groove early on and has tossed 13 2/3 scoreless innings in his last 2 starts. Expect that to continue.
Arizona has scored 5 runs or more in 5 straight games and that will be enough for Gallen if it continues.
BET DIAMONDBACKS (-105).
Run line/Against the spread
The run line is only worth a bet if you think the Padres can win and cover the spread. The line for the Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165) is too pricey when you can get better odds on either team on the moneyline.
PASS.
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Over/Under
All 3 meetings between these teams have had at least 9 total runs.
The Diamondbacks have had 4 straight games with totals of 9 or more.
However, Gallen’s last 2 starts had totals of 3 and 5 runs and the Padres have scored 2 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games. Hitting the Over will be tough.
BET UNDER 9 (-110).
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