Predicting where the top 21 free agents will land

From Tom Brady to Amari Cooper to Philip Rivers, Touchdown Wire’s Doug Farrar identifies likely fits for this year’s top NFL free agents.

Jadeveon Clowney: Miami Dolphins

(Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports)

If word is true that Clowney wants a deal in the range of $22 million to $23 million per year … well, the six-year veteran may be in for a bit of a market adjustment. That kind of deal would make Clowney the highest-paid defensive end in football, and the second-highest-paid edge-rusher behind Khalil Mack, which is a lot for a guy who has never recorded 10 sacks in a season. Obviously, sack numbers aren’t the ultimate arbiter when it comes to the effectiveness of pass-rushers, but Clowney has never put up more than 64 pressures in a season. To put that in perspective, Green Bay’s Za’Darius Smith led all edge-rushers last season with 104. So, Clowney will have to decide between a team with a whole lot of money that desperately needs pass-rushing credibility and a team with less cap to spend and greater championship-level aspirations.

If it’s the former, why not the Dolphins? Miami currently has a league-leading $87,850,174 in cap space, and although the Dolphins have needs up and down their roster, signing a player with Clowney’s talent and potential would be a big boost to their defense. Alternatively, the Dolphins could prefer to address their pass-rushing needs in the draft or with less-expensive veterans. Either way, it’s unlikely Clowney will get an overwhelming payday.