The Pittsburgh Pirates (27-27) wrap up a 3-game series with the San Francisco Giants (28-27) Wednesday at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: tied 1-1
The Pirates halted a 3-game losing skid with a 2-1 victory vs. the Giants in the middle game of the series Tuesday night. It was a well-pitched game, which was in stark contrast to a 14-4 setback in the series opener on Memorial Day.
Pittsburgh is still just 7-19 in the past 26 games overall, cashing in just 2 of the past 7 games on the road. The Bucs haven’t been good at stacking wins, going just 1-6 in the past 7 outings after a victory.
The Giants have alternated losses and wins in the past 4 games. Plating just 1 run Tuesday was a disappointment, as the wind was blowing out to left-center field and the Giants had managed 42 runs in the 5 games prior to the setback.
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Pirates at Giants projected starters
RHP Mitch Keller vs. LHP Alex Wood
Keller (6-1, 3.01 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 68 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 8 K in an 11-6 road win vs. the Seattle Mariners Friday
- 2023 Road splits: 3-1, 3.79 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 15 ER) with a .230 opponent batting average (OBA) in 6 starts
Wood (1-0, 3.51 ERA) makes his 7th start and 8th overall appearance. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 25 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 5 BB, 5 K in a 15-1 road win vs. the Milwaukee Brewers Friday
- 2023 Home splits: 0-0, 3.95 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 6 ER) with 4 BB, 14 K and a .212 OBA in 3 starts
Pirates at Giants odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pirates +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Giants -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-210) | Giants -1.5 (+170)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Pirates at Giants picks and predictions
Prediction
Giants 4, Pirates 3
Moneyline
The GIANTS (-125) are worth playing in the getaway day game.
Both pitchers have been tremendous to start the season, and like we saw Tuesday, even if the wind is blowing out briskly to the power alley in left-center field, good pitchers can still keep the ball in the yard.
The Bucs have failed to win in 6 of their past 7 tries following a victory, and Tuesday’s win was their first in 6 tries at Oracle Park.
Run line/Against the spread
The Pirates +1.5 (-210) will cost you over 2 times your potential return, if you require a little bit of insurance, and just cannot bring yourself to play Pittsburgh straight up.
AVOID.
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Over/Under
The UNDER 7.5 (-105) is worth a look in this day game on the Bay.
Keller seems to enjoy pitching in the daytime, allowing just 12 ER in 36 2/3 innings under the sun while allowing a .206 OBA.
The Under is 17-8-1 in the past 26 games during Game 3 of a series for Pittsburgh, while going 4-1 in the past 5 following a win.
The Under is 3-1-1 in San Francisco’s past 5 home games against a right-handed starting pitcher, too.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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