The Pittsburgh Pirates (47-78) and Philadelphia Phillies (71-55) continue a 3-game set Saturday at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is slated for 6:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Philadelphia leads 5-0
The Pirates have lost 6 straight games and 12 of their last 14. Pittsburgh has been outscored 91-46 across that span.
The Phillies have won 5 in a row. Philadelphia took Friday’s opener 7-4 and is 13-4 in its last 16 games at Citizens. The Phils have logged a robust .856 OPS over those 17 games.
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Pirates at Phillies projected starters
RHP Tyler Beede vs. RHP Kyle Gibson
Beede (1-3, 4.13 ERA) has appeared in 27 games, making 4 starts. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 through 52 1/3 IP.
- A middle-relief swingman who tends to struggle in second and third times through an order. Has averaged 59.8 pitches per start over his last 4.
- Owns a 5.06 ERA, 1.52 WHIP over 54 career games
Gibson (8-5, 4.30 ERA) is tabbed for his 25th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 132 IP.
- Faced the Pirates twice last season and allowed 6 runs on 8 hits and 4 BB in 12 2/3 IP
- Scuffled in his 1st start of the 2nd half but has logged a 2.97 ERA in 30 1/3 IP since
Pirates at Phillies odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:35 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Pirates +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Phillies -290 (bet $290 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +2.5 (-130) | Phillies +2.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Pirates at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 6, Pirates 3
Money line
There is, of course, a lot of juice here. It takes a sizable enough bankroll to make a bet like this, which we don’t advise. PASS.
It is worth considering PHILLIES OVER 4.5 TOTAL RUNS (-190) for a small wager.
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Run line/Against the spread
The Pirates have had so many non-competitive games of late. A reasonable effort by Gibson and the Philly pen gets the home nine clear by 3 with more than enough probability to warrant the leap of faith
BACK PHILADELPHIA -2.5 (+105).
Over/Under
There is some baked-in Under lean to the series, but this mound match-up — and the price here — take the air out of the profitability of an Under 9.5.
PASS. Consider circling back on the Under if the tag gets to -120.
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