Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

After winning the series opener on Thursday, the Philadelphia Phillies (37-34) are at the San Diego Padres (44-28) for Game 2 of their 4-game series. First pitch Friday is at 9:40 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The season series is tied 2-2.

The Phillies took Thursday’s opener 6-2 to hand Phillies starter Joe Musgrove his 1st loss of the year. It was the Phillies’ 16th win in their last 21 games.

The Padres had a 3-game winning streak snapped. They are 7-4 in their last 11 games.

Phillies at Padres projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. LHP MacKensie Gore

Nola (4-4, 3.11 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 0.87 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 89 2/3 IP.

  • The Phillies have won Nola’s last 5 starts and after losing his previous 8.
  • Has a 0.78 ERA in his last 3 outings, spanning 23 innings. In 2 of his last 3 starts, he pitched 8 scoreless innings.

Gore (4-3, 3.64 ERA) makes his 11th start in 12 appearances. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 54 1/3 IP.

  • The rookie has been knocked around in his last 2 starts, allowing a combined 14 R on 14 H in 6 1/3 IP with 7 BB and 4 K.
  • Has not allowed more than 2 runs in 8 of his 11 appearances.

Phillies at Padres odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:19 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Phillies -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Padres +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+135) | Padres +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Phillies at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Padres 3

Money line

The Phillies continue their hot streak, having won 15 of their last 21 games. They are now 18-17 on the road and 8-3 in their last 11 road games.

The Padres are 20-14 at home. Gore was fantastic until his last 2 starts and had a 19.89 ERA in those 2 outings.

The Phillies have won Nola’s last 5 starts.

Take the PHILLIES (-130).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Phillies covered the spread to snap a 5-game streak of failing to do so. They are 35-36 ATS overall but 19-16 ATS on the road.

The Padres are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games, 39-33 ATS overall but 12-22 ATS at home. They are 2-4 ATS at home as underdogs.

Take the PHILLIES -1.5 (+135).

Over/Under

The Phillies have scored at least 5 runs in 12 of their last 21 games.

Twelve of the Padres’ last 19 games have had 8 or more more runs.

Eight of Nola’s 14 starts have had 8 or more runs.

Take OVER 7.5 (+100).

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