Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (54-47) and Pittsburgh Pirates (40-61) meet Sunday at 1:35 p.m. ET to close out a 4-game series at PNC Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Philadelphia leads 3-0

The Phillies have a chance for a 4-game sweep and their 5th straight win. Philadelphia has triumphed in extra innings the last 2 nights. The Phils allowed just 2 runs Friday and 1 run Saturday and they own a 1.77 ERA, 0.80 WHIP in their last 6 road games.

The Pirates tote a 6-game losing streak into Sunday’s affair at PNC. Pittsburgh has batted all of .177/.243/.300 (.544 OPS) during the skid. The Bucs own a paltry .567 OPS since July 12.

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Phillies at Pirates projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP J.T. Brubaker

Nola (6-8, 3.32 ERA) owns a 0.93 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 132 2/3 IP across 20 starts.

  • Has, in a small sample size, held current Pittsburgh batters to an aggregate .600 OPS.
  • Has been barreled up more frequently in logging a 4.25 EREA since June 30. But has also been undone by an unfortunate left-on-base rate (65.5% over that same span).

Brubaker (2-8, 3.96 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 100 IP.

  • Making his first PNC start since June 30.
  • Has a 3.00 ERA in his last 6 starts.

Phillies at Pirates odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:47 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Pirates +155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-105) | Pirates +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Phillies at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Phillies 3

Money line

The Phillies went into this series with some betting upside and have been a baked-in lean throughout. But STEER CLEAR of any favorites price north of -180 for this one.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Pirates offense is in a bad place. The Phillies have the deeper bullpen and the starter more likely to give them 6 innings on a save-the-pen day.

BACK THE PHILLIES -1.5 (-105).

Over/Under

Both starters have yielded more frequent hard contact of late. Both bullpens are in the fatigue zone after back-to-back extra-inning contests.

TAKE THE OVER 7.5 (+105).

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