The Philadelphia Phillies (71-67) and Milwaukee Brewers (85-55) play the finale of a three-game series Wednesday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Phillies vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Phillies RHP Kyle Gibson (10-6, 3.30 ERA) makes his 26th start and 27th appearance. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 through 155 1/3 IP.
- Roughed up for eight runs, eight hits and two walks with four strikeouts across 5 1/3 IP in a loss at Miami Friday.
- Is 4-3 with a 4.46 ERA and three home runs allowed across 42 1/3 IP in seven starts since being acquired from the Texas Rangers.
Brewers RHP Freddy Peralta (9-4, 2.70 ERA) makes his 24th start and 25th appearance. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 12.3 K/9 and 3.9 BB/9 through 123 1/3 IP.
- Coughed up four runs, three hits and two walks with four strikeouts in just two innings in a loss against the St. Louis Cardinals Friday in his return after missing time due to shoulder inflammation.
- Faced the Phillies on the road May 5, allowing five runs, four hits and three walks with eight strikeouts in just four innings in a loss May 5, his only appearance this season vs. PHI.
Phillies at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Phillies +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Brewers -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Phillies +1.5 (-155) | Brewers -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)
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Prediction
Brewers 5, Phillies 2
Money line (ML)
The BREWERS (-170) are looking to build off their 10-0 victory Tuesday. They rebounded nicely after a 12-0 loss to the Phillies (+135) in the series opener.
Milwaukee is the play behind Peralta, who has been lights out this season. He has been especially strong at home, posting a 2.47 ERA with a .131 opponent batting average in 69 1/3 IP across 12 starts and 13 appearances at home.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
BREWERS -1.5 (+125) easily covered the run line in Tuesday’s romp, and they’re the play again with one of their best pitchers on the bump. While Peralta could be on a strict pitch count, as he makes just his second start since returning from shoulder inflammation, the Milwaukee bullpen has a solid 3.91 ERA, so that shouldn’t be a big concern.
Over/Under (O/U)
The lean is to the UNDER 7.5 (-105) after a couple of Over results in the first two in this series. It’s odd, too, as we had two Over results with a pair of shutouts. With Gibson and Peralta starting, expect a much more even and well pitched game.
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