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The Philadelphia Phillies (83-56) visit the Miami Marlins (52-87) on Thursday. First pitch from loanDepot park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Phillies lead 5-4
The Phillies have won 4 games in a row after taking down the Toronto Blue Jays 4-2 on Wednesday and covering as -126 road favorites. 1B Kody Clemens had 2 RBIs while LHP Cristopher Sanchez (2 ER in 7 IP) got the win.
Miami beat the Washington Nationals 4-3 in 10 innings Wednesday while covering as a +127 home underdog. SS Xavier Edwards was the hero with a walk-off single.
Phillies at Marlins projected starters
LHP Ranger Suarez vs. RHP Adam Oller
Suarez (11-6, 3.02 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 128 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 7-2 loss against Atlanta Braves Friday
- Career vs. Marlins: 5-2, 3.47 ERA (70 IP, 27 ER), 74 H, 24 BB, 66 K in 9 starts
Oller (1-1, 3.31 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 16 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 3-1 loss at San Francisco Giants Friday
- Signed in July as free agent after being released by Cleveland Guardians
- First time facing Phillies
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Phillies at Marlins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:07 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Marlins +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -2.5 (+100) | Marlins +2.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Phillies at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 4, Marlins 2
Moneyline
PASS.
There is no value on Philadelphia (-250) to win on Thursday.
Run line/Against the spread
BET MARLINS +2.5 (-120).
While the Phillies are on a hot streak, at 8-2 straight up (SU) over their last 10 games, only 3 of their last 8 wins have come by 3 or more runs. Miami has won 6 of its last 10 games including 3 of its last 4. At 1.5 runs, the Phillies may have the advantage, but at 2.5 the Marlins are the best play.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8 (-105).
The Phillies have failed to hit the Over in 6 of their last 10 games and have scored 4 runs or fewer in 4 of their last 5 games and 6 of their last 9. The Marlins have failed to hit the Over in 7 of their last 10 games and have scored 4 runs or fewer in 6 of their last 9.
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