The Philadelphia Phillies (23-24) and Miami Marlins (22-24) play the first of a four-game set Monday at loanDepot park with a 6:40 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Zach Eflin is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 2-3 with a 3.77 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 0.8 BB/9 over 57 1/3 IP through 9 starts.
Eflin was sharp against the Marlins Wednesday, allowing just two runs, six hits and no walks with six strikeouts across six innings in a quality start and loss at home.
However, Eflin is 1-2 with a dismal 5.68 ERA and .277 opponent batting average in 25 1/3 innings across four road outings.
LHP Trevor Rogers is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He is 6-2 with a 1.74 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 over 51 2/3 IP through 9 starts.
Rogers has been on fire lately, posting three consecutive victories. That includes a win Wednesday in Philadelphia when he allowed just one earned run on a solo homer, five hits and two walks with eight strikeouts across 7 2/3 innings.
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Phillies at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:00 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Phillies +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Marlins -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Phillies +1.5 (-200) | Marlins -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under: 6.5 (Over -125 | Under +105)
Prediction
Marlins 4, Phillies 1
Money line (ML)
The MARLINS (-135) are worth playing as moderate favorites as home as Rogers has been tremendous lately. He already beat the Phillies (+110) and Eflin in Philadelphia Wednesday, and the latter is worse on the road.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The MARLINS -1.5 (+165) are worth a small-unit play in this series opener in South Florida. Rogers is unlikely to allow very much, but Eflin has been hittable on the road, and that’s the difference here.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 6.5 (+105) is 3-1 in the past four starts for Rogers, and 6-3 across his nine outings overall. That includes Wednesday’s battle in Philadelphia. The Under has hit in Eflin’s past two outings, too.
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