The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves meet Wednesday at 4:35 p.m. ET (FOX) at Truist Park in Game 2 in the best-of-5 NL Division Series. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Series: Phillies lead 1-0; the Braves won regular-season series 11-8
Philadelphia opened a 6-1 lead through 4 innings and held on to take Tuesday’s opener 7-6. The Phillies banged out 5 doubles among 12 hits and are 7-3 in their last 10 road games. The downside to the Braves rally in Tuesday’s game is that the back end of the Philly pen was heavily leveraged to get to the finish line.
The Braves went 13-1 in their last 14 home games in the regular season, and Tuesday’s setback came after being idle for 5 days. Atlanta did manage to rally and make things interesting. The Braves hit multiple home runs for their 8th time in their last 12 games. Over that stretch, Atlanta has logged a .799 OPS.
Phillies at Braves projected starters
RHP Zack Wheeler vs. RHP Kyle Wright
Wheeler (12-7, 2.82 ERA) logged a 1.04 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 153 IP in 26 regular-season starts.
- Kept the St. Louis Cardinals off the scoreboard in Friday Wild Card Series game: 6 1/3 IP, 2 H, 1 BB, 4 K
- Including the postseason, has allowed just 1 run in his last 21 1/3 IP
- Owns a 2.38 ERA in his last 5 starts against Atlanta
Wright (21-5, 3.19 ERA) had a 1.16 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 180 1/3 IP in 30 starts in the regular season.
- Faced Philadelphia 2 starts back (Sept. 24) and allowed 2R in 5 1/3 IP
- Had 2.84 in 3 starts vs. Phillies in the regular season
- Posted a 2.86 ERA in 103 2/3 IP at home this season
Phillies at Braves odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:31 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Phillies +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Braves -140 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-180) | Braves -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)
Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!
Phillies at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 5, Braves 4
Moneyline
Wheeler was sharp in his postseason debut last week and makes this start on a preferred 4-day rest interval. He’s been a solid 3rd-time-through-the-oder guy who can perhaps lighten the load on the Philly bullpen just a tad.
Wright has a short 4-game postseason pitching record. It’s filled with a few too many walks and not many multi-inning stretches of dominance. Statcast quality-of-contact analytics are bearish on his 3.19 surface ERA.
Bet PHILADELPHIA (+120).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
Both clubs tangle in 1-run games at a higher-than-average rate. The Phils were outscored by just 3 runs (88-85) in the regular-season series.
A line watch might be in order: A play on the Phillies +1.5 could make sense now at -180 after it was at -190.
Over/Under
The overall team-vs.-team analytics view of this series would tilt toward the Under. Tuesday’s lefty-lefty match-up — a platoon edge for both teams — and the overvalued mound particulars, and to some extent, Atlanta’s layoff, made the Over a strong play (and it hit with ease).
Wednesday’s game falls into more neutral conditions, but it is not priced attractively. AVOID.
Want action on this game or any other MLB contests? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]