The New York Yankees (46-37) and St. Louis Cardinals (34-48) are slated to close out their weekend series Sunday. The first pitch at Busch Stadium is scheduled for 2:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: tied 1-1.
The Yankees and Cardinals split a day-night doubleheader on Saturday, with St, Louis obliterating the visitors 11-4 in the matinee and New York bouncing back to take the 2nd game 6-2. A Sunday win for the Yanks would make for 4 straight series victories after the club was swept at Boston June 16-18.
St. Louis is looking to close out a home stand with a 4-4 record. Overall, the Redbirds are 16-25 at home.
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Yankees at Cardinals projected starters
RHP Gerrit Cole vs. LHP Jordan Montgomery
Cole (8-1, 2.78 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 103 2/3 innings.
- Has held current St. Louis batters to an aggregate .632 OPS
- Owns a 1.00 ERA in 18 IP across his last 3 road starts
- Making his 1st start of the season off back-to-back 100-pitch efforts (105, 107).
Montgomery (5-7, 3.52 ERA) is making his 17th start of the 2023 season. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 92 innings.
- Has not yielded more than 3 ER in a game since May 22; has a 1.96 ERA, 1.04 WHIP in those 6 starts
- Pitched for the Yankees from 2017-22; traded to the Cards last July
Yankees at Cardinals odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:58 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Yankees -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | Cardinals -104 (bet $104 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+146) | Cardinals +1.5 (-178)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Yankees at Cardinals picks and predictions
Prediction
Cardinals 5, Yankees 4
Moneyline
Peg a sliver of a lean toward to the host Cardinals here. Up until scoring a slew of runs at Oakland Wednesday and Thursday, New York had been slumping, logging a minuscule .602 OPS over 14 games prior.
Montgomery was effective (5 scoreless innings) in a start against his old mates last Aug. 6 and he fronts a relief corps with perhaps more bullets in the chamber. That St. Louis bullpen also figures as one to get better than what shows in surface ERA (4.31). The opposite holds true for a Yankee ‘pen with favorable rates around the margins.
ST. LOUIS (-104) is worth some partial-unit action.
Run line/Against the spread
Lots of juice here, PASS.
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Over/Under
The Yankees have scored 6-plus runs in 3 of their last 4 games. The Cards have filed 7-plus in 3 of the their last 6.
Peg both starters as being a bit HR-fortunate so far this season. They allow enough hard contact that favorable home runs-to-fly ball ratios can mask some surface ERA bloat. Cole has also managed an 81.5% left-on-base rate, which when higher than 70% can signal some luck on the timing of batted balls.
Both clubs (the Yanks more so) have played schedules dialed to a higher-than-average degree of difficulty for batters (facing tougher pitching). Figure both lineups to be worthy of better offensive numbers. New York’s platoon figures favor at-bats against left-handers (.747 OPS vs. .702 against righties).
On a warm, humid day Busch Stadium, with a batter’s breeze blowing out to right-center — and with the New York bullpen entering fatigue caution territory with its recent load — BACK THE OVER 9 (-110).
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