New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (50-23) and Boston Red Sox (36-35) wrap up a 3-game set at Fenway Park Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

After an 8-1 win on Friday, the Yankees lost 8-4 as -177 favorites in the 2nd game of the series Saturday as the Over (9) hit. New York has lost 2 of its last 3 games but is 5-2 over its last 7.

Red Sox 3B Rafael Devers hit a 2-run double in the 2nd inning, giving Boston an early 5-2 lead. Saturday’s victory was the 3rd win in the last 4 games for Boston, which cashed as a +162 underdog.

Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Marcus Stroman vs. RHP Kutter Crawford

Stroman (6-2, 2.82 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 79 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 10-1 victory at Kansas City Royals Tuesday
  • 2024 road stats: 5-0, 1.56 ERA (40 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 4.5 K/9 in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 7-4, 3.51 ERA (97 1/3 IP, 38 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 in 16 starts, including 1-0 with 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER) in 1 start last year

Crawford (2-6, 3.47 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 80 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 4-1 home setback vs. Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
  • 2024 home stats: 1-5, 4.11 ERA (46 IP, 21 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Yankees: 2-1, 1.90 ERA (23 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 4 starts and 2 relief appearances, including 1-0 with 1.69 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 2 ER) in 2 starts last season

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Yankees at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:49 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Red Sox +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+110) | Red Sox +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Red Sox 4

Moneyline

The YANKEES (-140) should bounce back after losing by 4 runs Saturday. Stroman has allowed a total of just 2 ER over his last 4 road starts and gave up just 1 ER in 6 innings when he faced the Red Sox last season.

Crawford has allowed 4 or more runs in 4 straight starts, and the Red Sox have lost in each of his last 7 outings.

BET YANKEES (-140).

Run line/Against the spread

The Red Sox +1.5 (-135) will likely hit, but with Crawford on the mound, I wouldn’t want to bet any amount of money on Boston to keep it close.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Over is 3-0-1 in Boston’s last 4 games and 16-10-2 when the Yankees are road favorites. Crawford has also struggled at home, giving up 4 or more runs in 4 straight starts at Fenway Park.

However, 9 is a key number in MLB totals, so I wouldn’t bet this unless you can find Over 8.5 (-130) or better.

LEAN OVER 9 (-110).

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