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The New York Yankees (50-23) and Boston Red Sox (36-35) wrap up a 3-game set at Fenway Park Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
After an 8-1 win on Friday, the Yankees lost 8-4 as -177 favorites in the 2nd game of the series Saturday as the Over (9) hit. New York has lost 2 of its last 3 games but is 5-2 over its last 7.
Red Sox 3B Rafael Devers hit a 2-run double in the 2nd inning, giving Boston an early 5-2 lead. Saturday’s victory was the 3rd win in the last 4 games for Boston, which cashed as a +162 underdog.
Yankees at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Marcus Stroman vs. RHP Kutter Crawford
Stroman (6-2, 2.82 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 79 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 10-1 victory at Kansas City Royals Tuesday
- 2024 road stats: 5-0, 1.56 ERA (40 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 4.5 K/9 in 7 starts
- Career vs. Red Sox: 7-4, 3.51 ERA (97 1/3 IP, 38 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 in 16 starts, including 1-0 with 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER) in 1 start last year
Crawford (2-6, 3.47 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 80 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 4-1 home setback vs. Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
- 2024 home stats: 1-5, 4.11 ERA (46 IP, 21 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 8 starts
- Career vs. Yankees: 2-1, 1.90 ERA (23 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 4 starts and 2 relief appearances, including 1-0 with 1.69 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 2 ER) in 2 starts last season
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Yankees at Red Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:49 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Red Sox +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+110) | Red Sox +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Red Sox 4
Moneyline
The YANKEES (-140) should bounce back after losing by 4 runs Saturday. Stroman has allowed a total of just 2 ER over his last 4 road starts and gave up just 1 ER in 6 innings when he faced the Red Sox last season.
Crawford has allowed 4 or more runs in 4 straight starts, and the Red Sox have lost in each of his last 7 outings.
BET YANKEES (-140).
Run line/Against the spread
The Red Sox +1.5 (-135) will likely hit, but with Crawford on the mound, I wouldn’t want to bet any amount of money on Boston to keep it close.
PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.
Over/Under
The Over is 3-0-1 in Boston’s last 4 games and 16-10-2 when the Yankees are road favorites. Crawford has also struggled at home, giving up 4 or more runs in 4 straight starts at Fenway Park.
However, 9 is a key number in MLB totals, so I wouldn’t bet this unless you can find Over 8.5 (-130) or better.
LEAN OVER 9 (-110).
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