New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (49-22) and Boston Red Sox (35-34) meet for the opener of a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from Fenway Park is set for 6:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Boston won 9-4 last season

The Yankees lost 4-3 to the the Kansas City Royals on Thursday while failing to cover as a -159 road favorite. Reliever Clay Holmes gave up a 2-run RBI single in the bottom of the 9th to blow New York’s 3-2 lead and end a 4-game winning streak.

Boston routed the Philadelphia Phillies 9-3 Thursday while covering as a -108 home favorite. The Red Sox have won back-to-back games and are 15-19 at home.

Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Luis Gil vs. RHP Brayan Bello

Gil (8-1, 2.04 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 75 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 6-4 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday
  • Career vs. Boston: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 0 ER), 3 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 1 start

Bello (6-3, 4.78 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 58 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 3 BB, 2 K in a 6-1 loss at the Chicago White Sox Saturday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 2-2, 1.45 ERA (31 IP, 5 ER), 25 H, 9 BB, 25 K in 5 starts

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Yankees at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:57 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Red Sox +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+100) | Red Sox +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 7, Red Sox 5

Moneyline

PASS.

Avoid paying the juice and bet New York on the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET YANKEES -1.5 (+100).

I like the Yankees to cover here as -1.5 (+100) favorites, especially as they are 43-28 ATS this season.

New York won 3 of the last 4 meetings with Boston last season after losing 7 in a row to the Red Sox. The Yankees are 7-3 in their past 10 games and 3-1 in their last 4 road games. Boston is only 2-4 in its last 6 home games vs. AL teams. Both teams are 4-1 in the last 5 games.

Also, only 4 of the 13 meetings last season had a 1-run difference and 3 of the 4 Yankees wins were by multiple runs.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-115). 

The Over has hit in 3 consecutive games for Boston and 7 of its last 10 games. For New York, the Over is 6-3 in its last 9 games. But be aware that the Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these teams in Boston.

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