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The New York Yankees (71-72) and Boston Red Sox (73-70) are slated to play twice Tuesday in a day-night doubleheader. First pitch in the 2nd game at Fenway Park is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox Game 2 odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
(Stats and records don’t include the first game of Tuesday’s doubleheader)
Season series: Red Sox lead 8-1
New York had been on a roll, going 8-1 from Aug. 28-Sept. 8, but the Yankees bats have gone quiet over the club’s last 4 games: they’ve posted a .447 OPS while going 1-3 since Thursday.
Boston is 1-4 over its last 5 games and 4-19 across its last 13. The Red Sox snapped a 6-game losing streak with a victory over the Baltimore Orioles Sunday.
Yankees at Red Sox projected starters
LHP Carlos Rodon vs. RHP Kutter Crawford
Rodón (2-5, 6.60 ERA) makes his 11 start of the season. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 46 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 10-3 home loss vs. Detroit Tigers Thursday
- 2023 Road stats: 1-2, 6.63 ERA in 19 IP across 4 starts
- Last 5 starts vs. Red Sox: 1-3, 6.30 ERA in 30 IP
- Has yielded a 41.6% hard-hit rate and an 11.6% barrel rate
Crawford (6-7, 4.36 ERA) makes his 20th start and 28th appearance. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 107 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 8-6 loss at Tampa Bay last Tuesday
- 2023 Home stats: 0-4, 6.51 ERA in 47 IP across 13 games (9 starts)
- Career starts vs. Yankees: 1-0, 2.12 ERA in 17 IP across 3 starts (2022-23)
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Yankees at Red Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:28 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Yankees +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-175) | Red Sox -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 6, Yankees 5
Moneyline
This one calls for a very slight pull toward the Yankees on the overall team aspect of results vs. expected and a very slight pull toward the host Red Sox on the mound.
With plenty of gray area mixed in by the doubleheader situation, Tuesday’s nightcap at Fenway Park is a clear PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
Same calculation as above but with more juice in the prices. A faster no.
PASS.
Over/Under
Red Sox games have cashed on the Over in 20 of the club’s last 23 games (+17.95 units, 71% ROI).
BoSox batters have been pummeling Yankee pitching over the last 2 series between these longtime rivals. Across 6 meetings from June 16-Aug. 20, the Sox have averaged 7.83 runs per contest. The Over went 4-2 in those 6 games, and with this game likely getting into the so-so middles of double-dip-extended bullpens, the Over is the moderate lean in this one.
Go in full-unit or more if you can get in on the OVER 9.5 (+100). Look for the price to go up, though.
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