The New York Mets (12-7) and San Francisco Giants (6-11) start a 4-game series at Oracle Park with Thursday’s opener slated for a 9:40 p.m. ET 1st pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Mets won 4 of 7 from the Giants in 2022
New York closes out a very successful West Coast road trip with this series. The Mets have gone 5-1 with a .775 OPS in 3 games at the Oakland Athletics and 3 at the Los Angeles Dodgers.
San Francisco is back at home after a 1-4 road trip at the Detroit Tigers and Miami Marlins. The Giants are 3-8 with a .665 OPS over their last 11.
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Mets at Giants projected starters
RHP Kodai Senga vs. LHP Sean Manaea
Senga (2-0, 3.38 ERA) is lined up for his 4th start. He owns a 1.44 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 in 16 IP.
- Threw 96 pitches in 4 2/3 IP Friday at Oakland; allowed 4 runs on 11 base runners
- Compiled a 2.59 ERA in 11 seasons in the Japanese NPB league
Manaea (0-0, 4.76 ERA) has registered a 1.15 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 through 11 1/3 IP in 3 games (2 starts).
- Has a career 3.65 ERA at home (4.50 ERA on the road)
- Has a .579 career OPS in 24 career March-April starts
Mets at Giants odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:27 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Giants +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+140) | Giants +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Mets at Giants picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 4, Giants 3
Moneyline
Analytics support numbers would say the Mets have been fortunate in the numbers hung in both the runs and runs-allowed columns … and that the opposite holds true for the Giants. Add in a weak New York schedule so far, and there is some lean on the home side here.
Unless the Giants price gets to +105, though, the slightly better leverage can be found on the Run Line. PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
To the point on the Mets’ strength of schedule, in his 3 starts so far Senga has seen the Miami Marlins twice the Oakland Athletics once. And his last start — against the A’s — was a clunker. In this turn, Senga is facing a San Francisco club batting .254/.347/.474 (.824 OPS) against right-handed pitching.
Manaea has thus far exhibited a jump in velocity, and he clocked a solid outing against these Mets a year ago (7 IP, 1 ER, 3H, 3 BB, 3K).
TAKE THE GIANTS +1.5 (-165).
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Over/Under
Plenty of ammo on both sides of this number. A cease-fire, by way of a PASS, is suggested.
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