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The New York Mets (87-69) and Atlanta Braves (85-71) open a critical 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 5-5
New York came away with a 2-1 win over Philadelphia Sunday while covering as a +122 home underdog. New York has won back-to-back games and went 6-1 in its just-concluded 7-game homestand. The Mets hold the 2nd Wild Card spot and are 2 games ahead of the Braves.
Atlanta escaped with a 5-4 win over the Miami Marlins Sunday while covering as a -185 road favorite. RF Jorge Soler hit the tie-breaking RBI single in the 7th won it. The Braves have 2 straight games and return home for the final 6 games of the season. Atlanta is 1 1/2 games behind Arizona for the 3rd and final Wild card spot.
Mets at Braves projected starters
RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Spencer Schwellenbach
Severino (11-6, 3.79 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 178 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 10-6 outing vs. Philadelphia Phillies Thursday
- Career vs. Atlanta: 1-1, 3.15 ERA (20 IP, 7 ER), 20 H, 10 BB, 20 K in 4 starts
Schwellenbach (7-7, 3.61 ERA) makes his 20th career start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 109 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 7-1 outing at Cincinnati Reds Wednesday
- Career vs. Mets: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (7 IP, 0 ER), 2 H, 0 BB, 11 K in 1 start
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Mets at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:41 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Braves -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-190) | Braves -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Mets at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 7, Braves 4
Moneyline
BET METS (+115).
New York has won 6 of its last 7 games and is 7-3 in its last 10 while the Braves have lost their last 2 games at home and are 6-4 in their last 10.
The Mets have also played Atlanta very well as of late, being 3-2 in the last 5 overall matchups and 2-1 in the last 3 meetings in Atlanta.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I like the Mets to cover here as +1.5 (-190) underdogs, but as currently set, the risk of betting on this line is not worth the reward. I recommend betting on the moneyline and/or total instead, but if you’re okay with the risk, you can divvy up units between the spread and ML plays.
Over/Under
BET OVER 8 (-115).
The Over has hit in 2 of New York’s last 3 road games and is 5-1 in its last 6 overall. For Atlanta, the Over is 3-0 in its last 3 at home. The Over has also hit in 2 of the last 3 meeting between these squads and is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings in Atlanta.
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