The New York Mets (30-31) and Atlanta Braves (36-24) meet Wednesday for the 2nd game of of a 3-game NL East series. First pitch at Truist Park is slated for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 3-1
New York lost Tuesday’s series lid-lifter 6-4 and has dropped 4 consecutive games. The Mets, who have not won a season series against Atlanta since 2017, are just 13-15 since May 6.
NL East-leading Atlanta had logged a .172 (11-of-64) mark with runners in scoring position over its last 9 games. However, the Braves went 4-for-10 in such situations Tuesday and hit 4 doubles and a home run in a contest that saw them battle back from a 4-1 deficit.
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Mets at Braves projected starters
RHP Max Scherzer vs. RHP Charlie Morton
Scherzer (5-2, 3.21 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 47 2/3 IP.
- Owns a 2.53 ERA over his last 5 starts against Atlanta but has allowed 8 runs over his last 12 innings against the Braves
- Has clocked a 1.08 ERA over his last 25 IP spanning 4 starts
Morton (5-6, 3.62 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 64 2/3 IP.
- Faced the Mets on May 1 and scuffled for 4 ER over 5 1/3 IP; owns a 5.33 ERA over his last 5 starts (2022-23)
- Owns a 5.71 ERA and 1.62 WHIP over his last 3 starts
- Facing a left-leaning Mets lineup and has scuffled against lefty bats the last 2 years (OPS allowed in 2022: .771, in 2023: .806)
Mets at Braves odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:57 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Mets +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Braves -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-188) | Braves -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)
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Mets at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 6, Mets 3
Moneyline
Scherzer is a workhorse and usually fine in such situations, but he is coming off back-to-back 100-pitch efforts and is perhaps a bit more prone to fatigue after lighter workloads earlier this spring.
Morton’s recent run of pedestrian efforts has been fueled somewhat by high batting-average-on-balls-in-play (BABIP) figures, lodging a .341 BABIP on the season.
Ride the inertia of the Metropolitans’ skid and BACK THE BRAVES (-130).
Run line/Against the spread
The Mets have lost 5 in a row in Atlanta and 4 of those games have been decided by multiple runs.
There is some risk here, but aggressive players may want to split action between moneyline and run line.
TAKE THE BRAVES -1.5 (+155).
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Over/Under
Both sides of this figure have some sway factors. Example: fade to the starters’ numbers, play to the bullpens’ numbers. Respecting the total and tags: PASS.
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