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The New York Jets (6-3) visit a familiar foe in the AFC East rival New England Patriots (5-4) Sunday. Kickoff from Gillette Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Jets vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
Both teams are coming off byes.
The Jets’ last game was a huge 20-17 divisional win as 11-point home underdogs vs. the Bills Nov. 6. The defense picked off Josh Allen — once the MVP favorite — twice. With what is arguably one of the top-cornerback duos in the league in rookie Ahmad “Sauce” Gardner and D.J. Reed, the Jets defense has been playing phenomenally. The offensive attack was well balanced against the Bills with QB Zach Wilson throwing for 154 yards and 1 TD and RB Michael Carter rushing for 76 yards and 1 TD.
The Patriots’ last game was a 26-3 blowout of the Colts as 5-point home favorites Nov. 6. The defense played great and the offense did just enough. With 1 touchdown on offense, a pick 6 on defense and 4 Nick Folk field goals, the Patriots were able to do enough to beat a solid Colts defense. What worried many Patriots fans after the game was the inability of the offense to score touchdowns, but they are forgetting that the Colts have a great defense despite their 4-5-1 record — they rank 4th in least amount of yards per game allowed with 307.0.
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Jets at Patriots odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:44 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Jets +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Patriots -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Jets +3.5 (-117) | Patriots -3.5 (-103)
- Over/Under (O/U): 38.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Jets at Patriots key injuries
Jets
- WR Corey Davis (knee) out
- RB Breece Hall (knee) out — injured reserve
- OL Nate Herbig (shin) questionable
- DL Sheldon Rankins (elbow) out
Patriots
- P Jake Bailey (back) out — IR
- DL Christian Barmore (knee) out — IR
- LB Anfernee Jennings (shoulder) questionable
- WR DeVante Parker (knee) questionable
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Jets at Patriots picks and predictions
Prediction
Patriots 17, Jets 14
Moneyline
BET PATRIOTS (-180).
The Jets are the hotter and better team, but they won’t get the win here. The Patriots have won 13 in a row vs. the Jets and expect them to make it 14 straight, while making the AFC East Divisional race even more interesting.
Neither team is great, but both are very solid. This game will come down to which second-year QB makes the bigger mistake, which will be the Jets’ Wilson.
Against the spread
LEAN JETS +3.5 (-117).
The Jets have been too good and too hot to not expect them to cover the spread. There is a very real chance the Jets outright win this game, but I’m predicting New York loses at most by field goal. Wilson is prone to making mistakes and the Jets will need to lean on the run game. If they can get a little bit from the pass game and a lot from the run game, they’ll be OK in this one.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 38.5 (-112).
These two defenses are too good for me to advise you to bet the Over. The Jets corners will force Patriots QB Mac Jones to make mistakes and it will not be easy for the Pats to get those big chunk plays down the field.
Expect this to be a slow, defensive, slog of a game that will come down to the end. This will not be a high-scoring contest and both of these teams are coming off a bye week and will be well rested.
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