New England Patriots at New York Jets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New England Patriots at New York Jets odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The New York Jets (1-1) welcome the New England Patriots (1-1) to MetLife Stadium Thursday to commence NFL Week 3 action. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Patriots vs. Jets odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Jets, who won and covered in all 3 of their preseason games, kicked off the season with a 32-19 loss at the San Francisco 49ers in the Week 1 Monday Night Football game, failing to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. They evened their record with a 24-17 victory as 4-point favorites at the Tennessee Titans in Week 2. QB Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 343 yards and 3 TDs with one interception in the first 2 games.

The Patriots won at the Cincinnati Bengals 16-10 as 7.5-point underdogs in Week 1. They followed with a 23-20 overtime loss at home vs. the Seattle Seahawks in Week 2, pushing as 3-point underdogs. RB Rhamondre Stevenson has 201 rushing yards and 2 scores so far, finishing with 120 yards and 1 TD in the upset win at Cincy, The Patriots were 1-2 against the spread (ATS)  and straight up in the preseason.

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Patriots at Jets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated at 3:59 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Patriots +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Jets -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +6 (-110) | Jets -6 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 38.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Patriots at Jets key injuries

Patriots

  • C David Andrews (hip) questionable
  • LB Ja’Whaun Bentley (shoulder) out
  • OL Vederian Lowe (knee) out
  • OL Mike Onwenu (wrist) questionable
  • S Jabrill Peppers (shoulder) questionable
  • OL Sidy Sow (ankle) out

Jets

  • LB Jermaine Johnson II (Achilles) out
  • LB C.J. Mosley (toe) questionable

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Patriots at Jets picks and predictions

Prediction

Jets 24, Patriots 13

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no great value here.

The Patriots (+220) are hefty underdogs and showed their offensive struggles, scoring 7 points in the final 30 minutes against the Seahawks. They aren’t worth an upset play, but the Jets (-275) aren’t worth taking as an expensive favorites.

Against the spread

BET JETS -6 (-110).

The Patriots had just 125 passing yards against the Seahawks. The Jets are going to work to expose that weakness and have a much more well-rounded attack behind Rodgers.

New York covered against the Titans, is 1-0 ATS as a favorite and is averaging 21.5 points per game. The Patriots haven’t scored more than 20 yet this season and received a gift when the Bengals struggled to do anything in Week 1.

The Jets, at home, should be able to win by more than a touchdown. TAKE JETS -6 (-110).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 38.5 (-110).

The Patriots have a stout defense and have allowed 10 and 23 points (20 in regulation), and they are going to be down numerous offensive lineman which should mean they struggle to move the ball offensively.

While the Jets have a dynamic offense, they have yet to score more than 24 points in a game and may find it difficult to keep drives alive against an aggressive Patriots defense, one that limited Cincinnati to 154 passing yards in Week 1.

Expect both defenses to shine. BACK UNDER 38.5 (-110).

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