Montreal Alouettes at Ottawa RedBlacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Montreal Alouettes at Ottawa RedBlacks Week 11 odds and lines, with expert CFL picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Montreal Alouettes (5-3) and the Ottawa RedBlacks (3-6) meet Saturday at TD Place Stadium in Ottawa. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (CBSSN/TSN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Alouettes vs. RedBlacks odds, and make our expert CFL picks and predictions.

The Alouettes have rattled off 3 consecutive victories and covers in the past 3 weekends, averaging 31.0 points per game (PPG) on offense, while yielding just 14.7 PPG on defense. The Under is 2-1 during the 3-game win streak. QB Cody Fajardo (shoulder) will suit up as the 3rd-string quarterback with QB Chris Evans starting against his former club.

The RedBlacks have dropped the past 3 games, while going 0-3 against the spread (ATS), too. Ottawa is averaging a healthy 22.3 PPG on offense but coughing up 28.7 PPG on defense. The Over is 2-1 during the 3-game stretch.

These teams met back in Week 1 in Montreal, with the Alouettes posting a 19-12 victory as a 2-point favorite while the Under (43.5) connected. It was the first time the home team won outright in the previous 7 meetings, and Montreal halted an 0-3 ATS skid in the series.

Alouettes at RedBlacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Alouettes -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | RedBlacks +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Alouettes -1.5 (-110) | RedBlacks +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Alouettes at RedBlacks key injuries

Alouettes

  • OL Patrick Davis (leg) out
  • QB Cody Fajardo (shoulder) probable
  • DL Marcus Valdez (ankle) out

RedBlacks

  • WR Bralon Addison (Achilles) out
  • DB Douglas Coleman III (head) out
  • DB Brandin Dandridge (foot) out
  • LB Frankie Griffin (head) out
  • DB Justin Howell (head) out
  • LB Gary Johnson Jr. (foot) out
  • LB Deshawn Stevens (head) questionable

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Alouettes at RedBlacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Alouettes 25, RedBlacks 16

Moneyline

MONTREAL (-125) is a strong value straight up on the moneyline in this road contest. The Als have already beaten Ottawa (+105) once this season, and the RedBlacks are significantly banged up. However, laying the small amount of points is an even better option, and cheaper.

Against the spread

Unless you’re dead-seat on MONTREAL -1.5 (-110) winning this game by just a single point, then you must take the Alouettes laying the points rather than the moneyline.

Ottawa +1.5 (-110) is in trouble, especially on defense, as Coleman III has managed 2 INT this season, including a pick-6, while posting 3 sacks. His loss will be a big one, as is that of Dandridge, who has registered a team-high 4 picks, including a pair of TDs with a forced fumble and 2 fumble recoveries. Montreal should be able to have its way against Ottawa’s depleted D.

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Over/Under

UNDER 47.5 (-110) is a strong play.

While Montreal should be able to move the ball against Ottawa’s banged-up D, it has been rather middling on offense this season. The Als are averaging just 251.1 passing yards per game, ranking 6th in the CFL, while managing a so-so 24.9 PPG.

Ottawa’s D has been picked apart, and it is dinged up. But the offense isn’t very good, and won’t do much against the Montreal D.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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