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The Milwaukee Brewers (83-62) take on the San Francisco Giants (72-74) Thursday in the finale of a 3-game set at Oracle Park at 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Brewers vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 3-2
The Brewers were given bitter beer face by a 13-2 loss to the Giants Wednesday. They have lost 6 of 8 but really have nothing to worry about in the NL Central with the Chicago Cubs 8½ back.
The Giants hit 3 homers, including 3B Matt Chapman‘s 24th homer Wednesday in the laugher. They’ve won 3 of 4 but are an afterthought 8 games out of a Wild Card spot.
Brewers at Giants projected starters
RHP Frankie Montas vs. RHP Hayden Birdsong
Montas (6-10, 4.69 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 132 1/3 innings with the Cincinnati Reds and Brewers.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 10 K in 3-2 home setback Friday against Colorado Rockies
- 3 career starts vs. Giants: 0-0, 3.24 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 17 K in 16 2/3 IP
Birdsong (3-5, 5.19 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 6.1 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 through 52 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 2 ER, 5 BB, 4 K in 6-4 home defeat Sept. 4 against Arizona Diamondbacks
- 1 career start vs. Brewers: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 6 K Aug. 29
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Brewers at Giants odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:35 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Giants +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+135) | Giants +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Brewers at Giants picks and predictions
Prediction
Giants 6, Brewers 4
Moneyline
As mentioned, the Brewers are coasting along to the finish line here as their magic number to clinch the division dwindles. Because of that, I like the home side for the price.
Take the GIANTS +105.
Run line/Against the spread
The prop that is the outlier to me is HAYDEN BIRDSONG UNDER 14.5 OUTS (-130). This dude hasn’t gone 5 innings in 6 straight starts.
Over/Under
It’s expected to be a little chilly at 65 degrees for first pitch, but there’s slated to be a 10-mph wind blowing out to straightaway center field. The Over is a no-brainer here. Montas has given up at least 3 ER in 3 straight starts, and Birdsong has allowed 7 ER in 6 2/3 IP in his last 2 GS.
Take the OVER 7.5 (-110).
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