The Milwaukee Brewers (18-13) and San Francisco Giants (13-17) open up a 3-game set at Oracle Park Friday. First pitch is at 10:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Giants won 4-3 in 2022
The Brew Crew was swept in Colorado earlier in the week and have dropped 4 in a row. They are just 10-10 over the last 20 games. They are clearly struggling without a couple starting pitchers. What was built to be a strength, the Brewers sit 25th in pitcher strikeouts at 7.79/game.
The Giants took 2 of 3 from the defending-champion Houston Astros on the road this week. They’ve won 6 of 10 and sit 5 games back in the NL West. San Francisco is doing it with power, ranking 4th in MLB with 1.60 homers per game.
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Brewers at Giants projected starters
RHP Corbin Burnes vs. LHP Sean Manaea
Burnes (3-1, 4.01 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 33 2/3 IP.
- Last start Saturday vs. LA Angels: 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K
- His 7.2 K/9 is a career low
- Last 5 GS vs. Giants: 2-0, 1.03 ERA, 0.66 WHIP, 49 K in 35 IP
Manaea (0-1, 7.85 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.64 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 18 1/3 IP.
- Has allowed 9 ER in 5 2/3 IP over last 2 GS
- Last GS vs. Milwaukee June 2, 2022: 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 8 K
Brewers at Giants odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:06 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Giants +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+140) | Giants +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Brewers at Giants picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 4, Giants 2
Moneyline
Burnes has not pitched like himself this year, but any time you can get the Brewers against a sub-.500 team for -120 with him on the hill, you very much consider it. Yes, Burnes’ strikeouts are down, but the Giants fan the most in baseball at 10.70/game. Sweeten the deal with BREWERS ML + BURNES 5K (+100) at even money. Burnes owns the Giants with at least 9K in his last 4 GS against them.
Run line/Against the spread
The Brewers are 15-16 on the RL and 9-7 on the road. The Giants are 14-16 and 7-7 at home. These teams have played each other tough with 3 one-run games in the last 6. But with Manaea out there pitching batting practice, I’ll throw a HALF-UNIT at BREWERS -1.5 (+140).
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Over/Under
Milwaukee and San Francisco are 3-6-1 O/U over the last 10. It’s a chilly 56 degrees with a 10-mph gust blowing out to left-center. We’ve had 7 Unders cash in the last 10 games between these teams.
I’ll LEAN UNDER 8 (-115).
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