The Milwaukee Brewers (53-43) close out their 3-game road series against the Philadelphia Phillies (52-43) on Thursday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is at 12:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Brewers lost the series opener on Tuesday 4-3, snapping a 4-game winning streak, but bounced back on Wednesday with a 5-3 victory. They are 10-4 in their last 14 games.
The Phillies had their 4-game winning streak snapped with Wednesday’s loss. They have won 8 out of their last 12 games.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Brewers at Phillies projected starters
RHP Corbin Burnes vs. RHP Taijuan Walker
Burnes (8-5, 3.73 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 113 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 2 BB, 13 K in 1-0 road win over Cincinnati Reds last Friday
- Is 3-0 with 1.89 ERA in 3 July starts (19 IP)
Walker (11-3, 4.00 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 101 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 3 BB. 3 K in 9-4 home win over San Diego Padres Saturday
- Is 7-0 with 1.84 ERA in last 7 starts (44 IP)
Brewers at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Phillies -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-190) | Phillies -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a Draft Prep or full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 4/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!
Brewers at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 4, Brewers 3
Moneyline
Burnes and Walker are both pitching fantastically. Burnes has won his last 3 starts and Walker has won 7 straight.
The Brewers are 27-22 on the road and have won 8 of their last 10 road games. The Phillies are 26-18 at home and 4-2 during the current homestand.
Walker’s run is a little longer and he’s at home, but this should be a fun matchup.
BET PHILLIES (-120).
Run line/Against the spread
Neither team has been a reliable ATS win. The Brewers are 46-50 ATS and the Phillies’ 39-56 ATS mark is the 3rd-worst mark in baseball.
While 3 of the Phillies’ last 5 wins have been by 1 run, Philadelphia has won Walker’s last 6 starts by at least 2 runs. So even though the game has a premier pitching matchup, 2 pretty hot teams and pretty even odds on the moneyline which is worth a bet, the Phillies’ streak with Walker on the mound is also worth a play on the run line. You could double up on this game and sprinkle a little on PHILLIES -1.5 (+155).
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Over/Under
Neither game of this series has reached 9 total runs. In Walker’s last 7 starts, 4 have had fewer than 9 total runs. The Brewers’ last 6 games have not reached 9 total runs.
BET UNDER 9 (-115).
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]