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The Milwaukee Brewers (52-43) and Philadelphia Phillies (52-42) square off for Game 2 of their 3-game series on Wednesday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park will be at 6:40 p.m. ET in Philadelphia. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Phillies lead 1-0 after winning 4-3 on Tuesday
The Brewers have been on a tear as of late to push into 1st place in the NL Central. They’ve won 6 of their last 8 games and 9 of their last 13 and now hold a 2.5-game lead over the Cincinnati Reds in the division.
The Phillies are also heating up, winning 4 straight games and 8 of their last 11. They’re still 9 1/2 games back of the Atlanta Braves in the NL East, but they’re squarely in the hunt for a wild-card berth if they continue playing the way they have.
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Brewers at Phillies projected starters
RHP Colin Rea vs. LHP Cristopher Sanchez
Rea (5-4, 4.71 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 80 1/3 innings.
- Has a 5.56 ERA in July, allowing 7 ER in 11 1/3 IP
- Brewers are 7-3 in his last 10 starts
Sanchez (0-3, 3.26 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 30 1/3 innings.
- Phillies are 3-3 in his starts
- Lost last start vs. the San Diego Padres, allowing 3 ER in 5 IP
Brewers at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:07 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Phillies -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-140) | Phillies -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Brewers at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 6, Phillies 5
Moneyline
Both of these teams are playing well right now, winning series against quality teams such as the Cincinnati Reds and Tampa Bay Rays. The Brewers took 5 of 6 from the Reds, winning some very close games, 3 of them by only 1 run.
With this being such an even matchup, I give the slight edge to the Brewers. You can sprinkle a bit on the Brewers ML, but I would PASS and instead bet only on the spread.
Run line/Against the spread
The Brewers have kept games close lately, with 7 of their last 10 contests being 1-run games. Because they’re the underdogs on the run line, they’re getting 1.5 runs, which is a nice cushion against an evenly matched Phillies team.
BET BREWERS +1.5 (-140) to cover the spread on the road where they’ve won 10 of their last 14 games straight up.
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Over/Under
The total has gone Under in each of the Brewers’ last 5 games, but the Phillies have pushed it Over in 6 of their last 7. Neither pitcher on the mound Wednesday has been particularly dominant, which is why it could be a higher-scoring game.
BET OVER 9 (-115).
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