The Milwaukee Brewers (57-47) and Atlanta Braves (65-36) meet Saturday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 3-1
Atlanta won 10-7 as a -175 home favorite in the series opener Friday. Both teams had big 2nd innings as the Brewers jumped out to a 2-0 lead during the top half while the Braves stormed back to take a 3-2 lead during the bottom half. Atlanta pulled away in the 5th and 7th innings, scoring 6 runs in those frames to take a commanding 10-4 lead.
Milwaukee now sits at 5-5 in its last 10 games overall and is 28-23 on the road this season. Friday’s win broke a 2-game losing streak for Atlanta, who now sits at 4-6 in its last 10 overall. The Braves are 33-19 at home on the year.
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Brewers at Braves projected starters
RHP Julio Teheran vs. RHP Bryce Elder
Teheran (2-4, 3.75 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 57 2/3 innings.
- Only career start vs. Braves: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 4-2 home loss Sunday
- Road stats: 1-3, 5.16 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 13 ER) in 4 starts
Elder (7-2, 3.30 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 114 2/3 innings.
- Only career start vs. Brewers: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 2 K in Sunday’s win
- Home stats: 3-1, 3.69 ERA (61 IP, 25 ER) in 11 starts
Brewers at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:09 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-115) | Braves -1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Brewers at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 4, Brewers 1
Moneyline
PASS.
I like the Braves to win here, but at -200, the line is simply not worth the juice. Bet the run line and/or O/U instead.
Run line/Against the spread
LEAN BRAVES -1.5 (-105).
Neither team is particularly hotter than the other and the Braves only hold a slight 6-4 lead when it comes to the last 10 head-to-head matchups. The Braves do have the pitching advantage as they are 3-2 in Elder’s last 5 starts and 1-0 in his lone career start vs. Milwaukee, whereas the Brewers are 1-4 in Teheran’s last 5. I expect the Braves’ pitching advantage and home dominance to not only carry them to the win but also help them cover the spread here.
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 10 (-115).
For Milwaukee, the Under is 5-0 in its last 5 games and 8-2 in its last 10. The Under is also 3-1-1 in Teheran’s last 5 starts and 1-0 in his only career start vs. Atlanta.
For Atlanta, the Under is 4-0 in its last 4 games and 6-4 in its last 10. The Under is 3-2 in Elder’s last 5 starts and 1-0 in his only start vs. Milwaukee.
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