The Miami Marlins (58-54) and Texas Rangers (65-46) meet Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Globe Life Field is set for 2:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Rangers lead 2-0
Texas won 9-8 Saturday as a -138 home favorite, overcoming a 5-0 deficit after 3½ innings. DH Robbie Grossman, SS Corey Seager and 3B Josh Jung sparked the rally with homers in the middle innings to catapult Texas to a 7-5 lead and the eventual win.
It was the Marlins’ 3rd consecutive loss. They’re 4-6 in their last 10 games and 24-30 on the road.
Meanwhile, the Rangers have won 5 in a row — they’re also 6-4 in their last 10. Plus, they own the best home record in baseball at 39-20.
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Marlins at Rangers projected starters
RHP Sandy Alcantara vs. LHP Andrew Heaney
Alcantara (4-9, 4.21 ERA) will his 23rd start of 2023. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 143 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 8 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 3-1 home loss vs. Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
- First career start vs. Texas
Heaney (8-6, 4.36 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 107 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 11 K in 2-0 home victory vs. Chicago White Sox Tuesday
- First career start vs. Miami
Marlins at Rangers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:38 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Rangers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-175) | Rangers -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Marlins at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 6, Marlins 5
Moneyline
LEAN RANGERS (-135).
As mentioned, the Rangers have the best home record in the majors. They’re 4-1 in their last 5 vs. the Marlins, taking 2 of 3 in South Florida last season.
Texas is the much hotter team and the Marlins have struggled on the road this season. Look for TEXAS (-135) to complete the sweep and extend their winning streak to 6.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I have faith in the Marlins to cover here, especially because they’ll be fighting to avoid a sweep, but at +1.5 (-175), the line is not worth the juice. Bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.
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Over/Under
LEAN OVER 8.5 (-115).
The Over is also 5-2 in the last 7 Miami-Texas matchups.
The Over is 2-1 in Alcantara’s last 3 starts for Miami. For Texas, the Over is 2-1 in Heaney’s last 3 starts. Sure, these don’t fit a big enough sample size, but call this one a “gut feeling.”
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