Miami Marlins at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Miami Marlins at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Marlins (58-52) open a 3-game series against the Texas Rangers (63-46) on Friday at Globe Life Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023; Rangers went 2-1 against the Marlins in 2022.

The Marlins were defeated by the Philadelphia Phillies 4-2 on Thursday, giving them 3 losses in their last 4 games. Miami is in 3rd place in the NL East, 13 games behind the division-leading Atlanta Braves and 1/2 game back of the final NL Wild Card spot.

The Rangers completed a 3-game sweep of the Chicago White Sox with a 5-3 win Thursday in RHP Max Scherzer’s debut. Texas is now 1 1/2 games ahead of the Houston Astros atop the AL West.

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Marlins at Rangers projected starters

LHP Jesus Luzardo vs. LHP Jordan Montgomery

Luzardo (8-5, 3.38 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 125 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 8-6 home win over vs. Detroit Tigers Sunday
  • 2023 road stats: 4-3, 4.63 ERA (46 2/3 IP, 24 ER) across 9 starts
  • Career vs. Rangers: 0-1, 2.30 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 4 ER) over 2 starts and 2 relief appearances

Montgomery (6-9, 3.42 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 121 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 3-2 home loss vs. Chicago Cubs last Friday
  • 2023 home stats: 4-4, 3.50 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 25 ER) in 11 starts
  • Career vs. Marlins: 0-0, 1.64 ERA (11 IP, 2 ER) across 2 starts
  • July 18 vs. Marlins: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 5-2 win

Marlins at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:42 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Rangers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-165) | Rangers -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Marlins at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 5, Marlins 3

Moneyline

With Montgomery making his debut for Texas on Friday, I’ll back the RANGERS (-145) at home. The Rangers are 37-20 at home this season compared to the Marlins producing a 24-28 road record.

Run line/Against the spread

RANGERS -1.5 (+140) is a solid bet as Texas looks like one of the best lineups in baseball again with SS Corey Seager back from injury. Luzardo just surrendered 4 earned runs to the Tigers in his last outing and the Rangers are a far superior team.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-115) is the lean in this game as I believe Montgomery will limit Miami’s lineup in his debut for Texas. Both teams are also 6-4 to the Under in their last 10 games.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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