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The Miami Marlins (23-43) and New York Mets (28-37) play the 2nd game of a 3-game NL East series at Citi Field Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Miami leads 3-1
The Marlins won just their 2nd game this month with a 4-2 victory in Tuesday’s series opener. The Fish have been shut out 3 times in June. In 8 games this month, Miami owns a strikeout-heavy .546 OPS.
The Mets filed their 3rd straight homer-less game in Tuesday’s loss. Over its last 10 home games, New York has filed a subpar .370 slugging percentage.
Marlins at Mets projected starters
LHP Braxton Garrett vs. LHP David Peterson
Garrett (2-1, 5.81 ERA) is making his 6th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 26 1/3 IP.
- Last outing: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 5-3 home setback vs. Tampa Bay Rays June 5
- Career vs. Mets: 0-2, 4.91 ERA (36 2/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.47 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 7 starts and 1 relief appearance
- Missed all of April with shoulder injury
Peterson (1-0, 3.09 ERA) is tabbed for his 3rd start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 3.9 K/9 in 11 2/3 IP.
- Last outing: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 6-3 victory at Washington Nationals June 4
- Career vs. Marlins: 2-2, 2.06 ERA (35 IP, 8 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 6 starts and 1 relief appearance
- Missed all of April and most of May after having offseason hip surgery
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Marlins at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Marlins +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Mets -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-165) | Mets -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -125)
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Marlins at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 4, Marlins 3
Moneyline
The lefty-lefty mound matchup favors the home nine. The Marlins are just 3-19 against left-handed starters. They own an MLB-worst .591 OPS against port-siders. The Mets rank 5th in the league with their .760 OPS against southpaws.
FanDuel Sportsbook offers more leverage here. BACK NEW YORK (-148).
Run line/Against the spread
Against the RL, the Mets are just 13-24 at home. The leverage on the ML is solid and not worth tempting in this slot. PASS.
Over/Under
The Under cashed in Tuesday’s game and has done so in 3 straight series meetings played in New York. Miami road games have seen the Under go 19-10. Mets home contests have seen the Under go 22-14.
Garrett figures as better than his small-sample ERA would indicate. Recent New York bullpen numbers (5.33 ERA since May 16) are exaggerated by some unkind rates around the margins.
TAKE THE UNDER 8 (-125), but go in with a lesser-than-half-unit play unless the tag comes down to -115.
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