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The Miami Marlins (22-43) and New York Mets (28-36) open a 3-game series on Tuesday. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Miami leads 2-1
Miami lost 6-3 to the Cleveland Guardians Sunday while failing to cover as a +105 home underdog. Miami allowed Cleveland to go on a 5-0 run after leading 2-1. The Marlins have lost back-to-back games.
New York came away with a 6-5 win over the Philadelphia Phillies Sunday while covering as a +125 road underdog. The Mets scored 3 runs in the 9th inning to come back from down 4-3 and survived a 1-run bottom of the 9th to pick up the comeback win over Philly.
Marlins at Mets projected starters
LHP Jesus Luzardo vs. RHP Tylor Megill
Luzardo (2-5, 5.30 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 56 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 9 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 2 K in a 9-5 loss vs. Tampa Bay Tuesday
- Career vs. Mets: 3-2, 3.00 ERA (39 IP, 13 ER), 27 H, 17 BB, 44 K in 7 starts
Megill (1-2, 3.00 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 21 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 4 K in an 8-7 win over Washington on June 3
- Career vs. Miami: 2-1, 3.18 ERA (17 IP, 6 ER), 15 H, 6 BB, 16 K in 4 appearances (3 starts)
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Marlins at Mets odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 7:37 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +114 (bet $100 to win $114) | Mets -134 (bet $134 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-194) | Mets -1.5 (+160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Marlins at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 5, Marlins 3
Moneyline
BET METS (-134).
New York is 4-1 in its last 5 games and is 6-4 in its last 10 while the Marlins are only 3-7 in their last 10. The Mets are also 2-1 in their last 3 meetings with the Marlins in New York.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
If you like New York to cover here, its odds are better on the moneyline, so place your wager there or on the Over/Under.
If you like Miami to cover here then I’d also recommend avoiding this bet as a +1.5 (-194) underdog is not worth the risk of betting on. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.
Over/Under
BET OVER 7.5 (-110).
The Over hit in Miami’s last outing and also hit in its last road outing. For New York, the Over is 3-1 in its last 4 home games and is 6-3-1 in its last 10 overall.
The Over has also hit in each of the last 3 Miami-New York matchups and going 5-2 in the last 7 matchups.
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