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The Miami Marlins (81-75) and the New York Mets (71-85) begin a 3-game series Tuesday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mets lead 7-3
The Marlins took 2 of 3 games from the Milwaukee Brewers over the weekend at loanDepot park to stay within a game of the Arizona Diamondbacks and Chicago Cubs for one of the final 2 NL Wild Card spots, while staying 1 1/2 games clear of the Cincinnati Reds.
The Mets have long since been eliminated from postseason contention, sitting 14 games under .500. However, perhaps things could be different if New York had played Miami more. The Mets have won 7 of 10 meetings with the Marlins, including 2 of 3 in Miami last Monday-Wednesday.
Marlins at Mets projected starters
LHP Braxton Garrett vs. LHP Joey Lucchesi
Garrett (9-6, 3.53 ERA) makes his 30th start and 31st overall appearance. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 155 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 R (0 ER), 5 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 4-3 home win vs. New York Mets Tuesday
- 2023 road splits: 6-2, 2.52 ERA (75 IP, 21 ER), 5 HR, .225 OBA in 14 starts
Lucchesi (3-0, 2.88 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 40 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 4-3 road loss vs. the Miami Marlins last Tuesday
- 2023 home splits: 1-0, 3.31 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 2 HR, .226 OBA in 3 starts
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Marlins at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Mets +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins -1.5 (+135) | Mets +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Marlins at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Marlins 4, Mets 2
Moneyline
The MARLINS (-130) are worth a look behind the southpaw Garrett, who was on the bump last Tuesday when Miami picked up a rare win against the Mets down in South Florida. The Fish are 3-1 in the past 4 starts with Garrett on the hill, and they’re 3-1 in the past 4 road assignments for Garrett, too.
Run line/Against the spread
The MARLINS –1.5 (+135) are worth playing lightly on the run line, but it’s a risky play based on Miami’s struggles against N.Y. this season.
Still, the Mets have dropped 4 straight games, including 0-2 in the past 2 games as underdogs on the run line. New York has been pretty competitive lately, but the wheels might be coming off.
Over/Under
The UNDER 7.5 (-110) is worth a roll of the dice.
The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 starts for Lucchesi and Garrett and is 5-3-1 in the last 9 meetings in this series.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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