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The Miami Marlins (74-71) and Milwaukee Brewers (81-63) play the 3rd game of a 4-game set Wednesday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 2-0
The Marlins lost 3-1 as +141 underdogs in the 2nd game of the series Tuesday. Miami has lost 4 of its last 6 outings and is 1½ games back of the Arizona Diamondbacks for the final NL Wild Card spot.
DH Josh Donaldson hit his 1st HR as a Brewer to give Milwaukee a 1-run lead in the 4th inning Tuesday. The Brewers are 1st in the NL East, 4 games ahead of the 2nd-place Chicago Cubs.
Marlins at Brewers projected starters
LHP Braxton Garrett vs. RHP Trevor Megill
Garrett (8-6, 3.82 ERA) makes his 28th start and 29th appearance. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 143 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 10-0 home loss vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Thursday
- 2023 road stats: 5-2, 2.74 ERA (69 IP, 21 ER) in 13 starts
- Career vs. Brewers: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 1 start, a 4-2 road win on Sept. 29, 2022
Megill (1-0, 3.38 ERA) will work as the opener, making his 1st start and 27th appearance. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 14.1 K/9 in 29 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 1 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 9-2 victory at New York Yankees Saturday
- 2023 home stats: 1-0, 3.60 ERA (15 IP, 6 ER) in 13 relief appearances
- Career vs. Marlins: 0-0, 5.40 ERA (1 2/3 IP, 1 ER) in 2 relief appearances
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Marlins at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:41 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Brewers -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-220) | Brewers -1.5 (+180)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Marlins at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Marlins 3, Brewers 2
Moneyline
The MARLINS (-115) have won in 5 of Garrett’s last 7 road starts and should bounce back after being outscored 15-1 so far in this series. Garrett has allowed just 1 earned run in back-to-back starts and 2 or fewer in 5 of his last 8 outings.
BET MARLINS (-115).
Run line/Against the spread
It’s unlikely that the Brewers will beat the Marlins by multiple runs in 3 straight games. Miami +1.5 (-220) will probably hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Marlins should win straight up.
PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.
Over/Under
Garrett has been reliable for the Marlins lately, and Miami’s offense is averaging just 2.17 runs per game over its last 6 outings. The Under is 40-28-2 (58.8%) this season in Marlins games when they’re coming off a loss, according to TeamRankings.com, and I like it to hit once again in this spot with Garrett on the mound.
BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).
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