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The Miami Marlins (6-17) and Atlanta Braves (14-6) open a 3-game series at Truist Park Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 2-1
Miami split its series with the Chicago Cubs 2-2 this past weekend after winning 6-3 Sunday and cashing as a +110 road underdog. Five different Marlins players scored a run, while RF Jesus Sanchez had 2 runs and 2 RBIs, including a solo shot in the 2nd inning. RHP Edward Cabrera allowed 3 earned runs in 5 innings and picked up the win.
The Braves failed to complete a 3-game sweep of the Texas Rangers after falling 6-4 Sunday as -150 home favorites. DH Marcell Ozuna had 3 RBIs and a home run, while RF Ronald Acuna Jr. scored 2 runs. RHP Darius Vines allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings and picked up the loss.
Marlins at Braves projected starters
LHP Ryan Weathers vs. RHP Bryce Elder
Weathers (2-1, 2.70 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 20 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 6-3 home victory vs. San Francisco Giants Tuesday
- Marlins are 2-2 in his 4 starts this season and 2-0 in his last 2
- Has struck out 22 batters this season while walking 9
Elder (12-4, 3.81 ERA in 2023) makes his season debut. He had a 1.28 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 174 2/3 innings across 31 starts last season.
- 2024 stats with Gwinnett (AAA): 2-0, 3.31 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.16 WHIP in 3 starts
- 2023 home stats: 7-1, 3.61 ERA (94 2/3 IP, 38 ER), 1.23 WHIP in 17 starts
- Career vs. Marlins: 1-2, 3.38 ERA (40 IP, 15 ER), 1.18 WHIP in 7 starts
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Marlins at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Braves -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-110) | Braves -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Marlins at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 5, Marlins 3
Moneyline
PASS.
There is minimal value on the Braves (-210), who are 14-6 this season and 7-3 in their last 10 games, to beat a Marlins squad that is 6-17 on the year.
Run line/Against the spread
BET BRAVES -1.5 (-110).
The Marlins are averaging 3.7 runs per game, while the Braves are averaging 6.25. Miami has lost by 2 or more runs in 5 of its last 6 losses, while Atlanta has won by 2 or more in 6 of its last 7 victories. Expect Elder to make the most of this opportunity after being called up from the minors.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 9.5 (-115).
While the Braves offense can carry this game to the Over, both Weathers and Elder are capable of keeping runs off the board. The Braves have held opponents to 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 6 games, while the Marlins have scored 3 or fewer in 4 of their last 5.
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