Manchester City (17 wins, 4 losses, 4 draws) welcomes Newcastle United (10-2-11) Saturday. Kickoff from Etihad Stadium is set for 7:30 a.m. ET (USA Network). Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Manchester City vs. Newcastle United odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.
Manchester City sits 2nd in the EPL, trailing Arsenal by 5 points. They are 10-1-1 at home this season and are averaging 2.56 goals per game, allowing 1 goal per game. They are led in scoring by F Erling Haaland, who has 27 goals in 24 matches. City’s +39 is the league’s best goal differential.
Newcastle sits 5th on the table with the league’s 3rd-best goal differential at +20. They have allowed just 15 goals, the fewest in the league, and scored 35. Newcastle is led by F Miguel Almiron, who has scored 10 goals in 23 matches.
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Manchester City vs. Newcastle United odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 4:02 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Manchester City -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Newcastle United +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Draw +350
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -140 | U: +120)
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Manchester City vs. Newcastle United picks and predictions
Prediction
Manchester City 1, Newcastle United 1
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
I like Newcastle to get a result here, but I wouldn’t bet it. City has been too dominant at home to play even a sprinkle on Newcastle or the draw.
However, if you’re feeling risky, Newcastle has drawn both Man United and Arsenal on the road this season and has a draw already with Man City. They have also drawn 3 of their last 4 league matches.
Again, this is ultimately a pass for the suggestion, but a Draw (+390) does have some value.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 2.5 (+120).
Newcastle has the best defense in the EPL and has gone Under this total in 8 of their last 9 matches throughout all competitions. Their draws against Man U and Arsenal, both of the road, were 0-0 results.
While the last match between these 2 was a 3-3 finish, Newcastle had just 5 shots on target while City had 10. That type of accuracy is unlikely on Saturday. Also, the Newcastle defense has looked quite a bit better since that Aug. 21, 2022, battle.
Man City also has the 3rd-best defense in the EPL and has allowed 2 or more goals in just 4 home matches while having also pitched 4 home clean sheets. The defenses here should provide value on the plus-money Under.
Back the UNDER 2.5 (+120).
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