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Kansas State vs. Texas Tech fearless prediction and game preview.
Kansas State vs. Texas Tech Broadcast
Date: Saturday, November 23
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
Venue: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX
Network: FS1
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Kansas State (6-4) vs. Texas Tech (4-6) Game Preview
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Why Kansas State Will Win
This has to be when the running game kicks back in.
It was rocking and rolling over a two-game stretch against Oklahoma and Kansas, and then offense started to move it more through the air against Texas – the ground attack didn’t work – and the mistakes against West Virginia were too much to overcome.
Texas Tech’s run defense hasn’t been miserable, but the Wildcats have to go back to what works. And if not, they can start throwing at will against the Big 12’s worst pass defense.
Texas Tech allows 310 yards per game through the air – giving up over 320 yards in each of its last five games and over 400 in two of its last three – but again, everything works better for the Wildcats if they can get going on the ground right away.
On the other side, the K-State defense gives up passing yards, but it comes through time and again on third downs – offenses only convert on 27% of their chances. Again, though …
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Why Texas Tech Will Win
The Kansas State pass defense is a wee bit of an issue.
There isn’t a pass rush, and there isn’t a ton of pressure in the backfield – the Wildcats are dead last in the Big 12 in tackles for loss – and Texas Tech’s offense doesn’t need the extra time.
This might not be the high-flying fun show of past Texas Tech versions, but Jett Duffey has thrown for close to 700 yards over the last two weeks with over ten yards per pass.
Against the Wildcats, it’s all about completion percentage.
More completed passes, more long drives, more chances to take K-State out of its game that relies on time of possession. The team is 1-4 when allowing teams to hit 62% or more of their passes – Oklahoma was the only outlier – and it’s 5-0 when holding teams under the mark.
Duffey completes 67% of his throws overall, and has only been under it once in the last five games.
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What’s Going To Happen
The Red Raiders have to get past Kansas State this week and Texas next week to get bowl eligible. In the final home game of the year they’ll get the job done with the midrange passing attack overcoming a Kansas State offense that won’t be able to control the game like it’ll need to.
Kansas State vs. Texas Tech Prediction, Line
Texas Tech 34, Kansas State 31
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Texas Tech -2.5, o/u: 55.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5
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Must See Rating: 3
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