Kansas at Texas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Kansas at Texas odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 24 Kansas Jayhawks (4-0, 1-0 Big 12) and No. 5 Texas Longhorns (4-0, 1-0) meet Saturday at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Kansas vs. Texas odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Kansas covered the spread as a 9-point home favorite with a 38-27 win vs. the BYU Cougars as the Over (56.5) hit last Saturday. QB Jalon Daniels threw 3 TDs, and Kansas’ defense scored twice.

Texas covered as a 17.5-point favorite with a 38-6 win at the Baylor Bears as the Under (49) cashed last Saturday. QB Quinn Ewers finished 18-of-23 passing for 293 yards with a TD and rushed for another score.

The last time these teams met, Texas covered as a 9-point road favorite with a 55-14 win as the Over (63.5) hit Nov. 19, 2022.

Texas is No. 5 and Kansas is No. 24 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Kansas at Texas odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:08 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Kansas +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Texas -800 (bet $800 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kansas +16.5 (-110) | Texas -16.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 61.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Kansas at Texas picks and predictions

Prediction

Texas 38, Kansas 16

Moneyline

The Longhorns (-800) are pretty much a lock at home to beat any team ranked beneath them, but most bettors don’t want to risk $800 to win $100.

PASS. Lay the points and/or bet the total instead.

Against the spread

Texas is a legitimate threat to win the National Championship this year and is tied with the Ohio State Buckeyes for the 4th-best odds at +900. Ewers is playing like a top-3 QB in the nation, and Texas’ defense is allowing just 12.5 points per game.

This will be Kansas’ 1st real test of the season, and I’m not confident in its ability to keep this game close after barely covering vs. BYU and struggling as a 28-point road favorite in a 31-24 win at the Nevada Wolf Pack the week before.

BET TEXAS -16.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The Under is 3-1 in Longhorns games this season as Texas’ defense continues to bully opponents. Kansas has put up an average of 37.8 points per game this season but has only faced inferior competition. This should be a reality check for the Jayhawks, who needed multiple TDs from their defense last week just to cover by 2 points.

BET UNDER 61.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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