We are just a few weeks away from knowing which four teams will take part in the 2022 College Football Playoff. And while there are four teams in Georgia, Ohio State, Michigan, and TCU that appear to be a clear choice today, we know that’s most likely going to change through the last four weeks of the season that includes the conference championship games.
It’s one thing to provide an opinion though. It’s another to actually have a predictive model built on analytics based on what has happened since the inception of the CFP to try and figure this thing out. That’s exactly what the popular analytics website FiveThirtyEight is built for.
Each week since midway through the college football season, FiveThirtyEight updates its College Football Playoff Predictions model to determine the teams with the best chance of making the College Football Playoff. We follow it every week since Ohio State is right in the thick of things again, and the Buckeyes are still in a good spot heading into Week 11.
Here is where the OSU and other teams are in their chances of making the CFP according to FiveThirtyEight as we get ready for the home stretch of the season. We include only teams with a 5% chance or better according to the model.