Cotton Bowl: Tulane vs. USC odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Tulane Green Wave at USC odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 18 Tulane Green Wave (11-2) and No. 8 USC Trojans (11-2) clash in Monday’s Cotton Bowl Classic. Kickoff at AT&T Stadium Stadium in Arlington is slated for 1 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Tulane vs. USC odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Tulane is 3-0 straight-up and 3-0 against the spread (ATS) in its last 3 games. A balanced Green Wave offense has cranked out 35.2 points per game (22nd in FBS). It has been the Tulane ground game that has pulled more weight of late as the Wave has drowned out foes with 259.4 rushing yards per game since Nov. 5.

The Trojans have scored even more. USC ranks 3rd in the nation with its 41.1 PPG. Southern Cal got to the doorstop of the national title game, but lost to Utah 47-24 in the Dec. 2 Pac-12 Championship. That loss snapped a 5-game win streak.

USC was ranked 10th by the College Football Committee, Tulane 16th.

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Tulane vs. USC odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 12:41 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Tulane +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | USC -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Tulane +2.5 (-111) | USC -2.5 (-109)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 63.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Tulane vs. USC picks and predictions

Prediction

Tulane 28, USC 27

Moneyline

Southern Cal QB Caleb Williams (hamstring) is listed as probable, but how effective he will be if he plays is debatable. And the Heisman Trophy winner is running a Trojans offense down a few key pieces due to opt-outs.

Tulane strengths like defending the pass, getting stops in the red zone, and being diverse on offense play into a lean toward the Green Wave. USC’s defense — due mostly to iffy tackling — is prone to yielding more than a few chunk plays. On both sides of the ball, look for enough Tulane efficiency on early downs to make this game a toss up.

Consider a partial-unit play at Tulane +110.

Against the spread

USC coach Lincoln Riley has a 1-3 record in bowl games. As with above, Tulane has a shot in this one; we just want to get the right price. PASS on the current offering, but ride the Wave if a +2.5 gets priced under -110.

Over/Under

In the last 7 games, the Over in USC games is 7-0 and 6-1 in Tulane games. And on Monday, the total is a bit overcooked, and the Under has some slight value.

Either side has the strength to play some run-and-slow in the 4th if trying to get a lead to the shore line. The layoff and the neutral venue and some USC lineup shuffling plays into the leverage on a PARTIAL-UNIT PLAY ON THE UNDER 63.5 (-110).

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