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The Cincinnati Reds (34-38) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (35-37) on Tuesday. First pitch from PNC Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Pirates lead 1-0
The Reds have lost 3 games in a row after losing 4-1 to the Pirates Monday as +163 road underdogs. 1B Spencer Steer had Cincinnati’s only RBI of the game while RHP Carson Spiers allowed 4 ER in 6 IP to take the loss.
Pittsburgh has now won back-to-back games after covering as a -179 home favorite on Monday. SS Oneil Cruz led the way on offense for the Pirates with 2 RBIs while RHP Paul Skenes allowed 1 ER in 6 IP for the win.
Reds at Pirates projected starters
LHP Nick Lodolo vs. RHP Bailey Falter
Lodolo (7-2, 2.93 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.31 BB/9 and 9.57 K/9 in 58 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 4-2 win against Cleveland Guardians Wednesday.
- Career vs. Pirates: 1-1, 3.97 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 25 H, 11 BB, 35 K in 5 starts; last outing in 2023.
Falter (3-4, 3.86 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.36 BB/9 and 6.10 K/9 in 72 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 4-2 loss at St. Louis Cardinals Wednesday.
- Career vs. Reds: 0-1, 7.79 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 23 H, 4 BB, 15 K in 3 starts; last outing in 2023.
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Reds at Pirates odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:06 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Pirates +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+135) | Pirates +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Reds at Pirates picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 4, Pirates 3
Moneyline
BET REDS (-125).
The Reds have scored 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games and face a pitcher who has historically struggled against them. They had just 1 less hit than the Pirates on Monday and rightfully struggled to score against the young phenom Skenes. With Cincinnati’s best pitcher taking the mound on Tuesday, it will have a great opportunity to snap its losing streak.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There is no value on the run line in this game.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8 (+100).
Cincinnati and Pittsburgh have each hit the Under 8 times in their last 10 games. The Reds have scored 4 or fewer runs in 8 of their last 10 games while allowing 4 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10. The Pirates have scored 4 or fewer in 7 of their last 10 games and allowed 4 or fewer in 8 of their last 10.
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