Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (46-70) head east to face the Pittsburgh Pirates (46-72) Friday in the opener of a 3-game set at PNC Park. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Reds lead 5-4

The Reds are coming off a 1-0 victory over the Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday. It was just their 3rd win in the last 10 games. They are 20-34 on the road. The Reds also lost 1B Joey Votto for the rest of the season as he prepares for rotator cuff surgery. They have some interesting pieces in the rotation to build around, though. One of which will go Friday.

The Pirates snapped a 6-game losing streak Thursday with an 8-2 victory over the Boston Red Sox. All-Star OF Bryan Reynolds hit 2 homers and has 4 HR and 11 RBIs in the last 4 games. He has been 1 of the few bright spots for a team that is 8-22 in its last 30 games.

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Reds at Pirates projected starters

RHP Graham Ashcraft vs. RHP Bryse Wilson

Ashcraft (5-3, 3.96 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 86 1/3 IP.

  • Has a 1.77 ERA over last 3 starts
  • Struggles on the road with a 4.46 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 5.4 K/9 vs. 3.56 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 6.2 K/9 at home

Wilson (2-7, 5.93 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 71 1/3 IP.

  • Bad at home with a 7.50 ERA, 1.71 WHIP in 5 starts (6 games)
  • Allowed 4 R (1 ER) on 7 H with 4 K in 6 2/3 IP vs. Reds July 7

Reds at Pirates odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:19 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Reds -117 (bet $117 to win $100) | Pirates -103 (bet $103 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+145) | Pirates +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Reds at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 5, Reds 4

Money line

These teams split a 4-game set in Pittsburgh in May, but Cincinnati is without a lot of pieces since that series. With Reynolds mashing and leading the charge, the Pirates take this game. Take the PIRATES (-103) for a HALF-UNIT.

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Run line/Against the spread

I don’t like either side here. So let’s look at a prop bet. As mentioned, Reynolds is mashing with 5 extra base hits in his last 4 games. He’s hitting .339 with 8 XBH in 59 at-bats this month. Take REYNOLDS OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES (+107).

Over/Under

The Over is 7-2-1 for Pittsburgh in the last 10. There is some evidence toward the Under, but this is a small number for a game with 2 questionable starters. LEAN OVER 7.5 (-122).

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