The Cincinnati Reds (48-71) and Philadelphia Phillies (66-55) clash Monday at 7:05 p.m. ET as they open a 4-game series at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Philadelphia leads 2-1
The Reds head into this set having won 3 of their last 4 games. That stretch opened Wednesday against these Phillies, who took 2 of 3 from the Reds in a Monday-Wednesday series last week.
The Phillies have lost 4 of their last 5. After an early-August surge, Philadelphia is just 3-6 in its last 9 games.
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Reds at Phillies projected starters
RHP Luis Cessa vs. RHP Noah Syndergaard
Cessa (3-1, 5.50 ERA) has notched a 1.46 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 37 2/3 IP in 37 games. Monday will mark his 2nd start, 1st since April 14.
- Is not seemingly stretched out by long relief stints, but the Reds are not outwardly treating this effort as an opener start (1-2 IP)
- Has pitched 7 scoreless innings since July 7
Syndergaard (7-8, 3.95 ERA) has logged a 1.27 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 98 IP in 18 starts.
- Facing the Reds in a 2nd straight start: Allowed 3 R, 8 H, 0 BB, 6K in 7 IP last Monday
- Current Cincinnati batters own an aggregate .638 OPS against him
Reds at Phillies odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:43 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Reds +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Phillies -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-105) | Phillies -1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)
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Reds at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 4, Phillies 3
Money line
Early in the season, the Reds were woeful on the road. But since late-June, they have won a few series against over-.500 clubs, and they’ve played good enough lately to warrant a win probability in the high 30s here.
That makes for value on the REDS (+200) action.
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS: The Reds are a lean, but pass on a Cincy +1.5 play costing more than +100.
Over/Under
Cincinnati’s bats have struggled on the road. Philadelphia’s have fallen flat of late. The Phillies have been shut out 4 times in the last 2 weeks and they’ve averaged just 3.09 runs per game since Aug. 11.
Peg both bullpens as being a little undervalued.
There is enough 8-and-under probability here to warrant some UNDER 8.5 (-102) action.
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