The Chicago Cubs (26-32) and San Diego Padres (27-32) meet Monday for the finale of a 4-game series. First pitch from Petco Park is set for 9:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Cubs lead 2-1
Chicago won 7-1 as -106 road favorites Sunday. SP Marcus Stroman won his 4th straight start and the Cubs hit 3 HRs and led 7-0 after 3 innings.
The Cubs are 4-2 in their last 6 games. They are 2-1 on the start of this 10-game road trip and 11-16 on the road this season. The Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games and only 13-17 at home.
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Cubs at Padres projected starters
RHP Kyle Hendricks vs. LHP Blake Snell
Hendricks (0-1, 3.86 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.82 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 9 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 3 K in a 2-1 home win Tuesday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- Career vs. San Diego: 8-2 with a 2.61 ERA (82 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 0.89 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 13 starts
Snell (1-6, 4.50 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 5.5 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 56 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 7 K in a 2-1 road loss Wednesday vs. Miami Marlins
- Career vs. Chicago: 1-1 with a 1.06 ERA (17 IP, 2 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 12 BB, 15 K in 3 starts
Cubs at Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:45 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cubs +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Padres -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-135) | Padres -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Cubs at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 4, Cubs 3
Moneyline
PASS.
These teams are evenly matched with San Diego being a bad home team and the Cubs being a bad away team. The Cubs are 4-6 in their last 10 and the Padres are 5-5 in their last 10, meaning that neither team is hotter than the other. The Padres are far too heavy of a favorite to risk betting on, so skip this bet.
Run line/Against the spread
LEAN CUBS +1.5 (-135).
The Cubs have proven they can consistently beat this Padres team and with the struggles San Diego has been having at home it is safe to believe that even if they lose, the Cubs will make this a close game. Bet lightly here as I don’t believe the Cubs will win this game straight up.
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).
For Chicago the Under is 6-0 in their last 6 overall and 4-0 in their last 4 road games. For San Diego the Under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the NL Central and 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
The Under is also 6-2 in the last 8 meetings overall and 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings.
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