New York Liberty at Phoenix Mercury odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Liberty at Phoenix Mercury odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty (24-7) visit the Phoenix Mercury (9-21) Friday at Footprint Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (ION Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Mercury odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Liberty were humbled Thursday in a 88-75 road loss to the Las Vegas Aces. New York had won its last 2 matchups versus the league leaders, including the Commissioner’s Cup Tuesday night. It was the first loss in 7 games for New York in regular-season play, and it had a 4-game cover streak snapped.

The Mercury suffered an 81-71 loss to the Seattle Storm on the road last time out on Sunday, but Phoenix is playing a little better. The Merc have won 3 of their last 5 games and are 4-2 against the spread (ATS) across the past 6 outings.

These teams last met on July 5 in Brooklyn, as the Liberty won 99-95. However, the Mercury easily covered as a 15-point underdog while the Over (167) also comfortably connected. New York also won a home meeting on June 18 by an 89-71 score, covering as a 15-point favorite as the Under (163) came through.

Liberty at Mercury odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Liberty -1200 (bet $1,200 to win $100) | Mercury +750 (bet $100 to win $750)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Liberty -12.5 (-115) | Mercury +12.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 165.5 (O: -110) | U: -110)

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Liberty at Mercury picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 86, Mercury 75

Moneyline

The Liberty (-1200) would cost you 12 times your potential return, and that’s simply too much risk and not nearly enough return, even though New York is the much better team, and it has won the first 2 meetings this season.

PASS.

Against the spread

PHOENIX +12.5 (-105) is worth a look as I think the Mercury keep this one fairly close. New York should have a little bit of a hangover after playing a marquee team in the 2 previous games in Las Vegas.

The Liberty failed to cover in their only game this season when working on no rest.

The Mercury are 6-1 ATS in the past 7 home games and they’re 4-0 ATS in the past 4 against Eastern Conference foes.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 165.5 (-110) is a solid play.

The total has gone low in 6 of the past 7 regular-season outings for the Liberty and 7-1 in their last 8 games overall. The Under is 6-0 in their past 6 against Western Conference foes and 5-1 in their last 6 games on the road.

The Under has been the rule for these teams, going 9-5 so far this month and cashing 5 of their last 7 meetings.

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New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty (24-6) and the Las Vegas Aces (27-3) resume the regular season Thursday at Michelob Ultra Arena at Mandalay Bay. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Liberty throttled the Aces 99-61 in Brooklyn Aug. 6, and posted a resounding 82-63 win in Las Vegas Tuesday to take the Commissioner’s Cup. Officially, the result was not applied to the regular-season standings, but unofficially it was the first home loss for Las Vegas this season.

The Liberty have won 6 straight regular-season games and the Commissioner’s Cup final, while covering 5 consecutive outings. That includes the outright win in Vegas Tuesday as 7.5-point underdogs. The Under is on a 6-1 run for New York, including the past 2 meetings with Las Vegas.

The Aces topped the Liberty 98-81 back on June 29, covering as 6.5-point home favorites as the Over (176) cashed, but New York has won and covered 2 in a row as an underdog in the head-to-head series, cashing the Under in each game.

The Liberty held the Aces to just 62.0 points per game (PPG) in those pair of losses, well below the Las Vegas’ league-leading 94.0 PPG.

Liberty at Aces odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:01 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Liberty +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Aces -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Liberty +6.5 (-105) | Aces -6.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 174.5 (O: -110) | U: -110)

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Liberty at Aces picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 89, Liberty 84

Moneyline

It’s rather tempting to take the Liberty (+220), and that’s where the value is, should you opt to make a moneyline play.

However, I expect Las Vegas (-275) to bounce back and finally solve New York. Am I willing to put up nearly 2.75 times my initial investment? No, and you shouldn’t either.

PASS.

Against the spread

NEW YORK +6.5 (-105) has not only beaten Vegas twice in the past 12 days, the Liberty bludgeoned the Aces by an average of 28.5 PPG. There is little reason to believe the Aces are suddenly going to snap back into form when they’ve been dominated in those 2 games.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 174.5 (-110) is the lean in this showdown rematch on The Strip.

The past 2 victories by New York in this series were Under results. The Under is 6-1 in the past 7 games overall for the Liberty, while going 4-1 in the previous 5 games on the road. The Under has cashed in 5 in a row against Western Conference foes, too.

For the Aces, while the Over is 6-2-1 in the past 9 against teams with a winning record, the Under has cashed in 4 of the past 5 against the East, including the previous 2 outings vs. the Liberty.

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New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Liberty (24-6) play the 2nd contest of a 5-game road trip when they visit the Las Vegas Aces (27-3) Tuesday at Michelob Ultra Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Liberty opened a 5-game journey Sunday with a 100-89 victory over the Indiana Fever, narrowly covering a 10-point spread as the Over (166) cashed. After a 2-9 ATS skid in 11 games from July 5-Aug. 1, the Liberty have covered 4 in a row, including 3 times as a favorite of 9 or more points.

The Aces were humbled 99-61 in Brooklyn by the Liberty last Sunday. That rout served as a wake-up call, as Las Vegas has won and covered 3 in a row, winning each outing by 20 or more points.

The home team is 2-0 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in the 2 previous meetings between these teams this season, splitting the Over and Under.

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Liberty at Aces odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:09 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Liberty +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Aces -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Liberty +7.5 (-110) | Aces -7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 177.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Liberty at Aces picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 94, Liberty 89

Moneyline

The Aces (-350) are a little on the expensive side. Vegas looks to exact a little revenge after an embarrassing 38-point blowout loss at Barclays Center Aug. 6 against the Liberty (+260). If anything, with the way New York hammered Las Vegas last week, it is tempting to play the Lib.

Both of these teams have been playing well, and it’s going to be a fun one in the rubber match.

PASS, and look to the line instead.

Against the spread

The LIBERTY +7.5 (-110) are worth a look, based mostly on their rout of the Aces just last week.

Vegas didn’t hit snooze on the alarm after their blowout loss to the Liberty. That loss awakened the monster, and that’s bad for the rest of the WNBA, including New York in the rematch on Tuesday. Vegas should grab the win, as it has covered 5 in a row at home and is 6-0 ATS in the past 6 when playing on a day of rest.

The Aces are also 5-1 ATS in the past 6 against winning teams, although that lone non-cover is against the Liberty. Vegas wins and New York covers in an entertaining affair.

Over/Under

OVER 177.5 (-105) is the play in Game 3 between these teams this season.

Aces F A’ja Wilson dropped a career-high 40 points with 12 rebounds in Friday’s 113-89 win over the Washington Mystics.

Meanwhile, Liberty F Breanna Stewart stepped up in response as she scored 42 points against the Fever last time out, going for 40 or more in 3 straight outings.

Wilson and Stewart aren’t the only ones filling up the bucket for their respective teams, either. This prospective WNBA Finals preview should look like an All-Star Game with plenty of scoring.

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Atlanta Dream at Las Vegas Aces odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Dream at Las Vegas Aces odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Dream (15-15) wrap up a 3-game road trip against the Las Vegas Aces (26-3) Sunday at Michelob Ultra Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (CBSSN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dream vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Dream’s road trip has been a nightmare, losing 85-74 at the Los Angeles Sparks Saturday as a 1-point favorite and dropping a 68-67 loss at the Seattle Storm on Thursday as a 5-point favorite. The Under has cashed in 6 straight games, and 13 of the last 14 contests, for Atlanta.

The Aces were spanked 99-61 in New York last Sunday, just the 3rd outright loss of the season. Las Vegas has responded with 108.5 PPG in the past 2 games, both wins by at least 20 points. The Over has cashed in each of those outings and is 8-3 across the past 11 contests.

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Dream at Aces odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:16 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dream +1400 (bet $100 to win $1,400) | Aces -5000 (bet $5,000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Dream +16.5 (-110) | Aces -16.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 175.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dream at Aces picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 101, Dream 79

Moneyline

The Aces (-5000) will cost you 50 times your potential return. Nobody needs $2 badly enough to risk $100 on a moneyline bet in WNBA.

AVOID.

Against the spread

The ACES -16.5 (-110) got a wake-up call in New York last Sunday. Las Vegas has roughed up the Dallas Wings on the road and the Washington Mystics at home, winning by 20 or more points. Look for the Aces to continue keeping the pedal to the metal as they rough up the Dream.

These teams just met at Mandalay Bay on Aug. 1 with the Aces pounding the Dream 93-72 as a 13.5-point favorite as the Under (180) cashed. Vegas dropped Atlanta 92-87 on the road, too, with the Dream cashing as an 11.5-point underdog as the Over (174) hit.

Over/Under

OVER 175.5 (-110) is a great play despite Atlanta’s recent spate of Under results.

The Aces own the best offense in the WNBA, notching 94.2 PPG, while also leading the league in field-goal percentage (49.9%), 3-point percentage (39.1%) and free-throw percentage (83.2%).

It’s hard betting an Over in a Dream game, but the Over is 8-3 in the past 11 games overall for the Aces and they just pile up points against anyone. The Over is 2-0 in the first 2 matchups between these teams this season, too.

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Atlanta Dream at Las Vegas Aces odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Atlanta Dream at Las Vegas Aces odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Dream (14-11) travel to meet the Las Vegas Aces (23-2)  Tuesday at Michelob Ultra Arena at Mandalay Bay. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dream vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Dream failed to cover as 8-point favorites Sunday, but Atlanta posted an 80-73 win over the Washington Mystics as the Under (167) cashed. Atlanta is still just 2-3 straight-up (SU), while going just 1-4 against the spread (ATS). The Under is also on an 8-1 run across the past 9 games overall.

The Aces hit the century mark for the 2nd consecutive outing, posting a 104-91 win over the Dallas Wings Sunday as 11-point favorites. The Over is 6-1 across the past 7 games overall, while the Aces are a healthy 5-2 ATS during the span.

The Aces topped the Dream in the first meeting June 2 in Atlanta, but Las Vegas won just 92-87, not even coming close to covering as an 11.5-point favorite as the Over (174) connected.

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Dream at Aces odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dream +900 (bet $100 to win $900) | Aces -1600 (bet $1,600 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Dream +14.5 (-110) | Aces -14.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 176.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dream at Aces picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 97, Dream 81

Moneyline

The Aces (-1600) will cost 16 times the potential return, and that’s a ridiculous bet. You would need to risk $160 just to win $10. Nobody needs a sawbuck that badly.

AVOID.

Against the spread

The ACES -14.5 (-110) have had it on cruise control. They have been scary good despite losing Candace Parker to a surgery. This offense has been hotter than the desert sun, rolling up 97 or more points in 3 straight, and 6 of the past 7 games.

As a double-digit favorite, Las Vegas is 5-2 ATS in the past 7 games, while going 12-9 ATS overall on the season.

The Dream +14.5 (-110) covered against the Aces in the 1st meeting, and Atlanta is 3-1 ATS in 4 games as a double-digit ‘dog. However, again, Atlanta is just 1-4 ATS in the past 5 games overall, struggling mightily against the number. That’s not good when pulling into Vegas.

Over/Under

OVER 176.5 (-110) is the lean, but go super light.

This is such a big number, but Vegas has posted triple digits in each of the past 2 games. We had a total of 174 on the board for the 1st meeting in Atlanta back in early June, and the teams combined for 179 total points. Look for a similar result here.

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Minnesota Lynx at Connecticut Sun odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Lynx at Connecticut Sun odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Lynx (13-13) play the 2nd game of a back-to-back set against the Connecticut Sun (18-7) Tuesday at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Lynx vs. Sun odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Lynx have posted 3 straight victories, including a pair of road wins in New York and Connecticut as double-digit underdogs. The Minnesota offense has come alive, with the Lynx going for 87 or more points. The Over has cashed in 4 in a row for Minnesota, too, including its 87-83 win in Connecticut in the front end of the back-to-back situation.

The Sun saw their 3-game win and cover streak come to a close against the Lynx Sunday despite a game-high 31 points from F DeWanna Bonner. As a favorite of 11 or more points, Connecticut is 0-2 against the spread (ATS) this season.

Connecticut is still 2-1 straight-up (SU) against Minnesota this season, although the Lynx are 2-1 ATS. The Over is also 2-1 in the 1st 3 meetings.

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Lynx at Sun odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Lynx +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | Sun -900 (bet $900 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Lynx +11.5 (-110) | Sun -11.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 161.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Lynx at Sun picks and predictions

Prediction

Sun 86, Lynx 81

Moneyline

The Sun (-900) will cost 9 times your potential return. That’s way too much. Let Sunday’s game serve as a recent cautionary tale as Connecticut was a -950 favorite against Minnesota, and it lost. That’s why it’s not wise to bet heavy favorites straight up, as it can come back to bite you.

AVOID.

Against the spread

The LYNX +11.5 (-110) won outright as double-digit underdogs for the 2nd consecutive game against the Sun -11.5 (-110) Sunday. I’m not saying Minnesota pulls off the feat again, but I think the Lynx grab a 3rd straight cover as double-digit ‘dogs. Again, Connecticut is 0-2 ATS this season when favored by 11 or more points.

Over/Under

OVER 161.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board.

Minnesota has scored 87 or more points in each of the past 3 games, averaging 90.7 PPG. The Over has cashed in 4 in a row for the Lynx, while going 10-3 in the past 13 outings.

Connecticut averaged 85.7 in its past 3 games, while cashing the Over in each of the past 2 outings. The Sun allowed 85.0 PPG in the past 2 contests, too. Go high on the total … and feel confident doing so.

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Dallas Wings at Las Vegas Aces odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Dallas Wings at Las Vegas Aces odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Wings (14-10) open a 2-game road trip with a visit to the Las Vegas Aces (22-2) on Sunday at Michelob Ultra Arena at Mandalay Bay. Tip-off is scheduled for 6 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Wings vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Wings have picked up 6 victories in the last 7 games, including an 80-78 win over the Aces in Big D on July 7 as a 9.5-point underdog as the Under (176) cashed. The teams also met in Vegas on July 5, with the Aces posting an 89-82 win as 12-point favorites as the Under (172.5) again connected.

In this series, Dallas has cashed in 6 straight meetings, while going 4-0 ATS in the previous 4 trips to the Strip. The Under is 5-1 in the past 6 meetings, and 6-0 in the previous 6 encounters in Nevada.

Dallas posted a 90-62 win Friday over the Washington Mystics as 9-point favorites as the Under (165.5) cashed, snapping a 4-0 Over run. The Wings are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games, and 8-2 ATS across the previous 10 contests. Dallas is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games against Western Conference teams, too, while going 5-1 ATS in the last 6 against winning teams.

The Aces have won 6 in a row since losing in Dallas on July 7. Las Vegas is also 4-2 ATS during the win streak, while cashing the Over in 5 of the previous 6 contests. The Aces are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 against Western Conference teams, too.

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Wings at Aces odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:24 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Wings +500 (bet $100 to win $500) | Aces -700 (bet $700 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Wings +10.5 (-115) | Aces -10.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 173.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Wings at Aces picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 92, Wings 85

Moneyline

The Aces (-700) will set you back 7 times your potential return if you play them straight up, and that’s not a recommended wager. Betting such heavy favorites might return some short-term gains, but it’s a losing long-term betting strategy.

AVOID.

Against the spread

The WINGS +10.5 (-115) have long been a thorn in the side of the Aces -10.5 (-105), and Dallas is 1 of just 2 teams to beat Las Vegas outright this season.

Dallas has cashed in 6 straight meetings, and each of the previous 4 trips to Mandalay Bay. That includes a trip to Vegas on July 5, and the outright home win on July 7 in the Metroplex.

Over/Under

OVER 173.5 (-110) is the lean, but go lightly.

The Over has connected in 4 of the last 5 games for the Wings, while going 8-3 in the past 11 appearances on Sundays.

The Over has cashed in 5 of the last 6 games overall for the Aces, while hitting in 4 of the last 5 meetings against Western Conference opponents, too.

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New York Liberty at Los Angeles Sparks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Liberty at Los Angeles Sparks odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Liberty (18-6) play the 1st of 2 road games against the Los Angeles Sparks (9-15) on Sunday afternoon at Crypto.com Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Sparks odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Liberty suffered an 88-83 home loss to the Minnesota Lynx Friday, snapping a 4-game winning streak. It is now just 2-7 against the spread (ATS) in the last 9 games, while the Over has connected in 6 of the previous 7 outings.

New York has scored 77 or more points in 23 straight games since managing a season-low 64 points in the season opener May 19 in Washington. The Liberty rank 1st in the WNBA in 3-pointer percentage (37.7%) and free-throw percentage (83.6%), according to covers.com. It is also last in the league in 3-pointer percentage defense (36.0%), while ranking 7th in points allowed (82.7 PPG).

F Breanna Stewart made history in Thursday’s 95-84 win over the Atlanta Dream, as she became the first WNBA player to post 25 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists in a single half. She ended up with 33 points, 12 rebounds, 5 assists and a blocked shot.

The Sparks posted back-to-back wins against the Indiana Fever in a 2-game home series, and the cover on Thursday was the 1st for Los Angeles since June 25 after an 0-8-1 ATS skid.

The home team has won each of the past 3 meetings, while the road team is 4-2 ATS in the previous 6 in the series. The Over holds a 6-3 edge in the past 9 head-to-head encounters. The teams will play again on Tuesday.

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Liberty at Sparks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:44 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Liberty -550 (bet $550 to win $100) | Sparks +400 (bet $100 to win $400)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Liberty -9.5 (-105) | Sparks +9.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 167.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Liberty at Sparks picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 87, Sparks 82

Moneyline

The Liberty (-550) are a bit on the expensive side, especially for the road team. You cannot risk 5 1/2 times your potential return, as betting huge favorites like that will eventually come back to bite you in the long run.

AVOID.

Against the spread

The SPARKS +9.5 (-115) catching nearly double digits at home is a bit much.

Neither of these teams has really lit it up against the number. The Liberty -9.5 (-105) are just 2-7 ATS in the last 9 games, while going 0-5 ATS in the past 5 against Western Conference foes. The Sparks are 1-8-1 ATS in the last 10 games, while going 4-10 ATS in the past 14 against winning teams.

The Sparks have covered 5 of the last 7 meetings in this series, and it should be able to keep this game within single digits Sunday.

Over/Under

OVER 167.5 (-105) is the lean, as the Liberty are generally good for 80 or more points.

The Over has hit in 6 of the last 7 games for New York, while going 6-1 in the last 7 games on the road, too.

The trends are mostly geared to the Under for the Sparks, with the total going low in 7 of the last 10 games at home, while cashing at a 10-3 clip in the last 13 games against winning teams, so be careful.

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Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Dream (13-10) face the New York Liberty (17-5) on Thursday night at Barclays Center in Brooklyn. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dream vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Dream picked up a 78-65 home victory Tuesday against the Phoenix Mercury, covering a 7.5-point number as the Under (164.5) cashed. The total has gone low in 7 straight games for Atlanta after a 5-0 run to the Over from June 23-July 5.

The Liberty escaped with an 86-82 win against the Seattle Storm on Tuesday, and they didn’t come close to covering a 15-point number. New York is just 1-6 against the spread (ATS) in the last 7 games, while the Over is 4-1 in the previous 5 outings.

New York leads this series 2-1 SU and ATS this season, with the road team winning and covering each meeting so far. The Over cashed in both games in Atlanta, while the Under hit in the only meeting in Brooklyn on June 13.

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Dream at Liberty odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:56  a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dream +350 (bet $100 to win $350) | Liberty -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Dream +8.5 (-105) | Liberty -8.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 173.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dream at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 86, Dream 83

Moneyline

The Liberty (-450) will cost you 4 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s too much risk for not enough reward. New York comes with a little bit of risk, as the home team is winless in the 3 previous matchups so far this season. While I think the Lib get the win, this game should be quite close.

AVOID.

Against the spread

The DREAM +8.5 (-105) are a strong play at Barclays Center, as the road team has covered all 3 meetings this season, and the road team has connected in each of the past 7 meetings dating back to June 24, 2022.

In addition, the Liberty -8.5 (-115) has managed to cover just once in the last 7 games overall, while the Dream is a respectable 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games.

Over/Under

UNDER 173.5 (-110) is the lean, but go lightly.

The Over cashed in the previous 2 battles in Atlanta, but the Under connected in th only previous meeting in Brooklyn this season. The Under is also on a 7-0 run for the Dream. While the Liberty can fill the basket with the best of them, this is quite a high total. Lean low, but play a half-unit at most.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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New York Liberty at Washington Mystics odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Liberty at Washington Mystics odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Liberty (14-5) travel to meet the Washington Mystics (11-9) on Friday night at the St. Elizabeth East Entertainment and Sports Arena in Washington D.C. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ION Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Mystics odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Liberty are looking to bounce back after a 98-88 setback at home against the Dallas Wings on Wednesday night ended its 4-game winning streak. New York has now failed to cover the last 4 outings, while cashing the Over in 3 of the last 4 games.

The Mystics were dropped 82-76 by the visiting Indiana Fever on Wednesday, cashing the Under (159) in the defeat. The Mystics are 2-4 straight-up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in the last 6 games, while hitting the Over at a 6-2 clip in the previous 8 affairs.

These clubs last met at Barclays Center on June 25 in Brooklyn, with the Liberty escaping with an 89-88 win in overtime. The Mystics covered as 7-point underdogs while the Over (161.5) comfortably connected. Washington won the opener 80-64 in D.C. as 2.5-point underdogs on May 19 as the Under (163.5) cashed.

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Liberty at Mystics odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:34 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Liberty -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Mystics +320 (bet $100 to win $320)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Liberty -8.5 (-115) | Mystics +8.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U):159.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Liberty at Mystics picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 87, Mystics 79

Moneyline

The Liberty (-400) will cost you 4 times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive for a straight-up wager. Even as part of a multi-team parlay, including New York just sucks the value out of your ticket.

AVOID.

Against the spread

The MYSTICS +8.5 (-105) are worth a looking catching more than 4 buckets. Washington won the season opener by 16 points as an underdog at home, and it cashed in a near-miss in overtime on June 25 in Brooklyn.

The Liberty -8.5 (-115) has managed to cover just 2 of the last 7 trips to the nation’s capital, while failing to cover the last 4 games overall this season.

Meanwhile, Washington is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games overall, while going 4-1 ATS in the last 5 after a SU loss and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 after a non-cover.

Over/Under

OVER 159.5 (-115) might be the best play on the board.

The Lib allowed 98 points at home in a loss to Dallas last time out, and the Over is 7-1 in the last 8 games for New York on a day of rest. The Over is also 7-2 in the last 9 games overall, while going 4-0 in the last 4 against Eastern Conference foes. The total has gone high in 5 of the last 6 on the road, too.

As far as the Mystics are concerned, the Over has hit in 6 of the last 8 games overall, while cashing at a 3-1-1 clip in the last 5 after a SU loss and going 5-1 in the last 6 against Eastern Conference opponents.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Access NBA coverage:
HoopsHype | Bulls Wire | Celtics Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Spurs Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | LeBron WireRookie Wire | List Wire

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