The New York Liberty (14-5) travel to meet the Washington Mystics (11-9) on Friday night at the St. Elizabeth East Entertainment and Sports Arena in Washington D.C. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ION Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Mystics odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
The Liberty are looking to bounce back after a 98-88 setback at home against the Dallas Wings on Wednesday night ended its 4-game winning streak. New York has now failed to cover the last 4 outings, while cashing the Over in 3 of the last 4 games.
The Mystics were dropped 82-76 by the visiting Indiana Fever on Wednesday, cashing the Under (159) in the defeat. The Mystics are 2-4 straight-up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in the last 6 games, while hitting the Over at a 6-2 clip in the previous 8 affairs.
These clubs last met at Barclays Center on June 25 in Brooklyn, with the Liberty escaping with an 89-88 win in overtime. The Mystics covered as 7-point underdogs while the Over (161.5) comfortably connected. Washington won the opener 80-64 in D.C. as 2.5-point underdogs on May 19 as the Under (163.5) cashed.
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Liberty at Mystics odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:34 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Liberty -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Mystics +320 (bet $100 to win $320)
- Against the spread (ATS): Liberty -8.5 (-115) | Mystics +8.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U):159.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Liberty at Mystics picks and predictions
Prediction
Liberty 87, Mystics 79
Moneyline
The Liberty (-400) will cost you 4 times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive for a straight-up wager. Even as part of a multi-team parlay, including New York just sucks the value out of your ticket.
AVOID.
Against the spread
The MYSTICS +8.5 (-105) are worth a looking catching more than 4 buckets. Washington won the season opener by 16 points as an underdog at home, and it cashed in a near-miss in overtime on June 25 in Brooklyn.
The Liberty -8.5 (-115) has managed to cover just 2 of the last 7 trips to the nation’s capital, while failing to cover the last 4 games overall this season.
Meanwhile, Washington is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games overall, while going 4-1 ATS in the last 5 after a SU loss and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 after a non-cover.
Over/Under
OVER 159.5 (-115) might be the best play on the board.
The Lib allowed 98 points at home in a loss to Dallas last time out, and the Over is 7-1 in the last 8 games for New York on a day of rest. The Over is also 7-2 in the last 9 games overall, while going 4-0 in the last 4 against Eastern Conference foes. The total has gone high in 5 of the last 6 on the road, too.
As far as the Mystics are concerned, the Over has hit in 6 of the last 8 games overall, while cashing at a 3-1-1 clip in the last 5 after a SU loss and going 5-1 in the last 6 against Eastern Conference opponents.
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