The Atlanta Dream (13-10) face the New York Liberty (17-5) on Thursday night at Barclays Center in Brooklyn. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dream vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
The Dream picked up a 78-65 home victory Tuesday against the Phoenix Mercury, covering a 7.5-point number as the Under (164.5) cashed. The total has gone low in 7 straight games for Atlanta after a 5-0 run to the Over from June 23-July 5.
The Liberty escaped with an 86-82 win against the Seattle Storm on Tuesday, and they didn’t come close to covering a 15-point number. New York is just 1-6 against the spread (ATS) in the last 7 games, while the Over is 4-1 in the previous 5 outings.
New York leads this series 2-1 SU and ATS this season, with the road team winning and covering each meeting so far. The Over cashed in both games in Atlanta, while the Under hit in the only meeting in Brooklyn on June 13.
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Dream at Liberty odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:56 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dream +350 (bet $100 to win $350) | Liberty -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Dream +8.5 (-105) | Liberty -8.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 173.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Dream at Liberty picks and predictions
Prediction
Liberty 86, Dream 83
Moneyline
The Liberty (-450) will cost you 4 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s too much risk for not enough reward. New York comes with a little bit of risk, as the home team is winless in the 3 previous matchups so far this season. While I think the Lib get the win, this game should be quite close.
AVOID.
Against the spread
The DREAM +8.5 (-105) are a strong play at Barclays Center, as the road team has covered all 3 meetings this season, and the road team has connected in each of the past 7 meetings dating back to June 24, 2022.
In addition, the Liberty -8.5 (-115) has managed to cover just once in the last 7 games overall, while the Dream is a respectable 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games.
Over/Under
UNDER 173.5 (-110) is the lean, but go lightly.
The Over cashed in the previous 2 battles in Atlanta, but the Under connected in th only previous meeting in Brooklyn this season. The Under is also on a 7-0 run for the Dream. While the Liberty can fill the basket with the best of them, this is quite a high total. Lean low, but play a half-unit at most.
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