St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (12-14) and New York Mets (13-12) meet Saturday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 4:05 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: St. Louis leads 1-0

St. Louis picked up a 4-2 win over New York in Friday’s opener, covering as a +112 road favorite. The Cardinals jumped out to a 4-0 lead by the middle of the 3rd and were able to hold on as the Mets only scored 1 run apiece in the 5th and 6th innings. It was the Redbirds’ 2nd win in a row and their 3rd in the last 4 games — they had lost 4 in a row before this current 3-1 run.

The Mets have lost 4 of their last 5 — they won Wednesday’s series finale at San Francisco. RHP Jose Butto took the loss Friday as he yielded 4 runs on 4 hits and 3 walks with 4 strikeouts in 5 2/3 innings.

Cardinals at Mets projected starters

RHP Sonny Gray vs. RHP Adrian Houser

Gray (2-1, 1.04 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.87 WHIP, 0.5 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 through 17 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 12 K in 2-0 home loss vs. Milwaukee Brewers Sunday
  • Career vs. Mets: 3-0, 2.60 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 13 H, 6 BB, 18 K in 3 starts

Houser (0-2, 7.45 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.76 WHIP, 6.5 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 through 19 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 8 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 10-0 setback at Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday
  • Career vs. St. Louis: 5-6, 3.07 ERA (70 1/3 IP, 24 ER), 64 H, 30 BB, 47 K across 13 starts and 3 relief appearances

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Cardinals at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:42 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Mets +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+135) | Mets +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cardinals at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 3, Mets 1

Moneyline

LEAN CARDINALS (-135).

St. Louis is 3-1 in its last 4 games overall and is 3-1 in its last 4 home games.  The Cardinals have also won back-to-back games vs. New York, being 3-0 in the last 3 meetings with the Mets in New York.

This is only a lean because the Mets are 6-4 in their last 10 games and because they hold the narrow 6-4 lead in their last 10 meetings with St. Louis.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. 

These are very similar teams with very similar ATS records this season so far. The Cardinals are 15-11 ATS, while the Mets are 13-12, so this would be a bet with a fair amount of risk either way. PASS on a run line wager as both the moneyline and total are safer bets.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-105).

The Under has hit in back-to-back games for the Cardinals and is 7-3 in their last 10 games overall. For New York, the Under is 3-1 in its last 4 games and is 2-1 in its last 3 home games. The Under has also hit in back-to-back St. Louis-New York matchups and is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

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