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The Kansas City Royals (5-12) and the New York Yankees (10-8) wrap up a 3-game series Wednesday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Royals vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 2-0
The Yankees won the first 2 games of this series, posting a 4-1 victory in the series opener Monday as a moderate favorite (-145) as the Under (9) cashed. The Yankees doubled up the Royals 4-2 as a heavy favorite (-250) as the Under (8.5) once again came through.
Yankees OF Jasson Dominguez had the big stat line Tuesday, going 3-for-3 with 2 singles and a double, while driving in 3 runs. Royals OF MJ Melendez went 1-for-4 with a solo homer, his first long ball of the season.
The Yankees are going for their first series sweep since annihilating the Milwaukee Brewers in 3 games to open the season March 27-30.
Yankees RHP Clarke Schmidt returns from the 15-day injured list to make his season debut Wednesday after recovering from a sore shoulder.
The Royals have lost 4 of the past 5 outings, and the Under has cashed in 3 consecutive outings, while going 8-2 across the previous 10 outings.
Royals at Yankees projected starters
LHP Kris Bubic vs. RHP Clarke Schmidt
Bubic (2-1, 0.96 ERA) makes his fourth start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 18 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 6 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 5 K in 7-0 road loss vs. Cleveland Guardians Friday
- 2025 road splits: 1-1, 1.50 ERA (12 IP, 2 ER), 9 H, 4 BB, 13 K, 1.08 WHIP in 2 starts
- 2024 splits vs. Yankees: 0-1, 0.00 ERA (2 1/3 IP, 2 R — 0 ER), 1 BB, 2 K in 2 relief appearances
- Career vs. Yankees: 0-2, 3.45 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 9 H (4 HR), 3 BB, 13 K, 0.77 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 5 appearances (2 starts)
Schmidt (5-5, 2.85 ERA) made 16 starts in 2024. He had a 1.18 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 85 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 2 H (1 HR), 4 BB, 3 K in 4-2 home setback vs. Los Angeles Dodgers on Oct. 28, 2024
- 2024 home splits: 2-2, 4.50 ERA (40 IP, 20 ER), 37 H (6 HR), 13 BB, 47 K in 8 starts
- 2024 vs. Royals: 1 start, no decision, 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-2 road win in Game 3 of the ALDS
- Career vs. Royals: 2-0, 3.29 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 16 H, 2 HR, 2 BB, 11 K, 1.32 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 4 appearances (2 starts)
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Royals at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:39 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Royals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Yankees -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-130) | Yankees -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Royals at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Royals 4, Yankees 3
Moneyline
The ROYALS (+145) are worth a look as moderate underdogs behind Bubic, who has been mostly untouchable so far this season.
With Schmidt coming back from a long-term injury, there is concern. Back the Royals to salvage the finale before booking it out of town.
Run line/Against the spread
KANSAS CITY +1.5 (-130) isn’t priced out of line if you’d like some insurance in his series finale. The Royals are 0-5 in the past 5 games on the run line as an underdog, so tread lightly.
Over/Under
UNDER 8.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at best.
The total has gone low in 3 straight games for the Royals, while cashing at an 8-2 clip in the previous 10 outings.
For the Yankees, the Under has hit in the past 2 outings, while going 4-0-1 in 5 tries against AL teams this season.
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