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Arizona State vs. Oregon State fearless prediction and game preview.
Arizona State vs. Oregon State Broadcast
Date: Saturday, November 16
Game Time: 7:30 ET
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
Venue: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR
Network: FS1
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Arizona State (5-4) vs. Oregon State (4-5) Game Preview
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Why Arizona State Will Win
The offense is expected to get its guy back with QB Jayden Daniels likely to go after missing the USC game. Now it needs its running back to go off.
Eno Benjamin hasn’t found a whole lot of room for a running game that’s hit the skids. A fantastic goal line runner, he hasn’t rushed for a touchdown in the last three games, and he’s had just 98 yards over the last two games after three straight 100-yard performances.
The Oregon State run defense can be hammered on – allowing 245 yards or more in three of the last five games – and controlling the tempo and the clock is a must. The Sun Devil defense has been getting worse as the season has gone on, and it needs Benjamin and company to keep the chains moving, and it has to come up with a few key takeaways on the road.
ASU is second in the Pac-12 in turnover margin – helped by 16 takeaways – and Oregon State doesn’t force mistakes. The Beavers need to get this into a little bit of a shootout, because …
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Why Oregon State Will Win
The Arizona State secondary is having a few problems.
After starting the season allowing just seven points in each of the first three games – and surviving a few big passing days – the Sun Devils have been hit way too hard by the better quarterbacks on the slate.
They lost in a shootout to Steven Montez and Colorado – giving up 337 yards through the air – and were expectedly hit hard by Washington State. The 477 yards and four scores allowed last week to USC was a problem, and letting UCLA’s Doran Thompson-Robinson to to hit close to 70% of his passes wasn’t okay.
Luton had a rough day against Washington – throwing for 88 yards in the loss – but when he’s on and the deep ball is working, Oregon State wins.
The Beavers are 3-0 when Luton averages 11 yards or more per past, and 1-5 when he doesn’t. Arizona State is 0-4 – all four losses – when it has allowed eight yards or more per pass.
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What’s Going To Happen
Oregon State has been been great on the road lately and awful at home. Playing Utah and Washington in Corvallis has been part of the reason.
The Beaver offense will generate just enough balance and downfield plays to keep the struggling ASU defense on its heels. Neither team does much to control the clock, and at home, the Beaver O will have just a bit more of a spark in what should be a fun game with a whole slew of wild mood swings.
Arizona State vs. Oregon State Prediction, Line
Oregon State 31, Arizona State 27
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Arizona State -2.5, o/u: 57.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1
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Must See Rating: 3
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