NFL Picks and Predictions – Page 188

Fantasy football: Where to draft Dallas Cowboys QB Dak Prescott

Analyzing Dallas Cowboys QB Dak Prescott’s 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

Dallas Cowboys QB Dak Prescott comes into the 2022 season after being named NFC Offensive player of the week 3 times in the 2021 season and leading the Cowboys to the top spot in the NFC East.

Though the QB competition is stiff this season, Prescott looks to build on the Dallas Cowboys’ record as they come off of a 12-5 season. Dallas lost to the San Francisco 49ers din an NFC Wild Card Game.

Below, we look at Dak Prescott’s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

Prescott ranked 7th in quarterback total fantasy points last season and 9th among quarterbacks in points per game.

Dak Prescott’s ADP: 59.63

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Prescott has an ADP of 59.63 in redraft leagues, which puts him in the 5th round of most drafts depending on the number of teams in the league. His teammates WR CeeDee Lamb (20.34) and RB Ezekiel Elliott (36.73) both come with higher ADPs than Prescott.

Among quarterbacks, Prescott’s ADP puts him 8th at the position, behind Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia Eagles) and Joe Burrow (Cincinnati Bengals). He places ahead of Russell Wilson (Denver Broncos) and Tom Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers).

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Dak Prescott’s 2021 stats

Games: 16

Passing yards: 4,449

Completions | attempts: 410 | 596

Passing touchdowns: 37

Interceptions: 10

Carries | rushing yards: 48 | 146

Rushing touchdowns: 1

Where should you draft Prescott?

Prescott is among the thick group of tier 2 quarterbacks. He lost WR Amari Cooper to the Cleveland Browns this offseason and his weapons are somewhat of a question mark. Lamb is expected to step up on the outside and the team will need to put more faith in WR Michael Gallup when he returns from injury.

The Cowboys lost 2 key offensive linemen but Elliott may still be expected to carry more of the offensive load this upcoming season in Cooper’s absence.

Given the depth at quarterback, I would pass on Prescott until the 7th round.

Detroit Lions QB Matthew Stafford, Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers and Brady all had more points last season than Prescott, and there is no reason to think he’ll take a sizable leap with a depleted offensive line and the loss of a star receiver.

Brady or a flier on Hurts given his running ability is the best option in the second tier of quarterbacks.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft New England Patriots QB Mac Jones

Analyzing New England Patriots QB Mac Jones’ 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

New England Patriots QB Mac Jones enters the 2022 season after having a mediocre rookie season. However, he secured himself a 2021 Pro Bowl appearance despite throwing 13 interceptions.

His pass completion rate was one of the pros of his rookie season as he completed a whopping 67.6% of his passes, but coming out of Alabama, everyone knew he was among the accurate quarterbacks.

Below, we look at Mac Jones’ 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

Jones could show growth and has potential as he enters the 2022 season. The league is saturated with exceptional quarterbacks though, leaving Patriots nation to wonder if he has what it takes to rise to the top.

Mac Jones’ ADP: 113.26

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Jones has an ADP of 113.26 in redraft leagues, which puts him in the 11th round of the draft in a 10-team league. Only one Patriot has a higher ADP than him — RB Damien Harris (81.73).

Among quarterbacks, Jones’ ADP puts him 19th at the position, behind Tua Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins), Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars), and Justin Fields (Chicago Bears) and slightly ahead of Matt Ryan (Indianapolis Colts) and Ryan Tannehill (Tennessee Titans).

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Mac Jones’ 2021 stats

Games: 17

Passing yards: 3801

Completions | attempts: 352 | 521

Passing touchdowns: 22

Interceptions: 13

Carries | rushing yards: 44 | 129

Rushing touchdowns: 0

Where should you draft Jones?

If we’re being honest with the 2nd-year Jones, the potential to be a top-ten or top-12 fantasy quarterback isn’t there.

He will have 4 tough matches against the Dolphins and the Buffalo Bills, two of the best secondaries in the league.

Jones didn’t get much help in the NFL Draft as the Pats reached for Chatanooga LG Cole Strange in the 1st round. They did bring in WR DeVante Parker who should give him a relatively decent option out wide and their tight end tandem is back.

Ultimately, I don’t see much improvement in the fantasy realm for Jones and his ceiling is relatively weak as well.

Taking Jones over the likes of experienced Colts QB Ryan seems like a mistake as well. Jones is only of real value in 2-QB leagues, and even then should be seen as a low-tier second option.

Draft him at your own risk. He’ll be learning a new offense and has limited weapons and there are other quality options available. Fliers like Fields make far more sense as their ceiling is sizably higher than Jones’.

Let Jones fall and pass on him as your QB2.

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Bet Slippin’ podcast: 2022 NFC West gambling featuring Cam DaSilva

Sportsbook Wire betting analyst Cam DaSilva joins “Bet Slippin’ podcast” to continue their 2022 NFL preview series discussing the NFC West.

Sportsbook Wire betting analyst and Rams Wire editor Cam DaSilva connects with Geoff Clark and Nathan Beighle to preview the NFC West Division, including breakdowns of the Los Angeles Rams, Arizona Cardinals, San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks.

Listen as they offer up their picks, predictions and best bets. Visit SportsbookWire.com for more sports betting analysis.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.

(If the podcast player does not display, please click here.)

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Bet Slippin’ podcast rundown

Los Angeles Rams | Time – 2:37

Arizona Cardinals | Time – 16:37

San Francisco 49ers | Time – 30:40

Seattle Seahawks | Time – 38:44

Goin’ to the window (best bets) | Time – 47:55

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Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tennessee Titans and Baltimore Ravens meet in their preseason opener Thursday. Kickoff from M&T Bank Stadium is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Titans vs. Ravens odds, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

When the Titans travel to Baltimore for the preseason opener they’ll be fortunate not to have to track down elusive QB Lamar Jackson, who will not play. Jackson only played 1 series the entire 2021 preseason.

The Ravens will also be resting TE Mark Andrews, CB Marlon Humphrey, S Marcus Williams and DE Justin Houston, making the Titans look a little more attractive.

Meanwhile, exciting Titans rookie QB Malik Willis will make his pro debut as he battles QB Logan Woodside for the QB2 job. The Titans offense is likely to be a little more prolific in this one. First-round pick WR Treylon Burks also debuts for Tennessee as does 4th-round pick RB Hassan Haskins.

Titans at Ravens odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 1:55 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Titans +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Ravens -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Titans +3.5 (-120) | Ravens -3.5 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 31.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Titans at Ravens picks and predictions

Prediction

Titans 19, Ravens 17

Money line

The TITANS (+155) have several rookies who are likely to play meaningful reps, looking to do big things in their pro debuts. Tennessee won’t have to deal with Jackson, and might not have to face QB Tyler Huntley for too long, either. Advantage Titans.

Against the spread

The TITANS +3.5 (-120) are a great play catching the 3 and a hook if you don’t trust them straight up. Generally, the first preseason games are not terribly exciting, but this game could be an exception with plenty of depth on both sides.

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Over/Under

The OVER 31.5 (-108) is worth a roll of the dice. As mentioned above, the first preseason games are usually a little tough to watch. However, this game could feature some big performances by rookies trying to make an immediate splash, particularly on the Tennessee side of the ball.

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New York Giants at New England Patriots odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Giants at New England Patriots odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Giants and New England Patriots meet in their preseason opener Thursday. Kickoff from Gillette Stadium is set for 7 p.m. ET (NFL Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Patriots odds, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Giants aren’t likely to play QB Daniel Jones and the starting offense much in this one. He and RB Saquon Barkley have been injury prone, and the weather forecast calls for potential showers and storms with breezy conditions.

The Patriots won all 3 of their preseason games last season, including a visit to the Meadowlands against the Giants. New England should be able to spoil head coach Brian Daboll’s preseason debut.

Giants at Patriots odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at noon ET.

Money line (ML): Giants -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Patriots +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Against the spread (ATS): Giants -2.5 (-108) | Patriots +2.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 33.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Giants at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Patriots 16, Giants 13

Money line

The PATRIOTS (+105) aren’t likely to run their 1st-team players out there much in this preseason opener. However, head coach Bill Belichick has plenty of depth to work with and New England has taken the preseason games very serious in recent seasons. Look for New England to get it done on its home turf.

Against the spread

The PATRIOTS +2.5 (-112) will likely have plenty of success confusing backup QBs Tyrod Taylor and Davis Webb for the Giants. Not sure what Vegas was thinking here, favoring the G-Men on the road. Take advantage.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 33.5 (-105) is a strong play. Traditionally we see lower-scoring affairs in the preseason, especially in the early-week games. The starters will play minimally, if at all, and the defensive units are usually well ahead of the reserves on offense. Toss in the fact we could see some slippery conditions due to showers, and the Under looks really good.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft Cincinnati Bengals WR Tee Higgins

Analyzing Cincinnati Bengals WR Tee Higgins’ 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

Cincinnati Bengals WR Tee Higgins has been impressive in his first 2 NFL seasons. Selected 33rd overall in the 2020 NFL Draft out of Clemson, Higgins was 1 of the many assets the Bengals possessed in their historic 2021 season that took them all the way to Super Bowl 56.

Higgins brought an average of 77.9 receiving yards per game (YPG) to the table, the 8th most receiving YPG for the 2021 season. Below, we look at Tee Higgins’ 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

Coming off a Super Bowl appearance, the future is only brighter for Higgins and this Bengals squad.

Tee Higgins’ ADP: 37.29

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Higgins has an ADP of 37.29 in redraft leagues, which puts him in the range of the 3rd to 4th round, depending on the size of the league. Though Higgins brings a lot to the table, his ADP is far less than teammates Joe Mixon (15.58) and Ja’Marr Chase (9.65).

Among wide receivers, Higgins’ ADP puts him 12th at the position, behind the likes of Keenan Allen (Los Angeles Chargers), A.J. Brown (Philadelphia Eagles) and Mike Evans (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) and slightly ahead of Michael Pittman Jr. (Indianapolis Colts) and D.J. Moore (Carolina Panthers).

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Tee Higgins’ 2021 stats

Games: 14

Receptions | targets: 74 | 110

Receiving yards: 1,091

Receiving touchdowns: 6

Where should you draft Higgins?

Higgins has a solid ADP, but you could argue it is a tad inflated coming off his first 1,000-yard season.

Higgins is getting drafted higher than players like Moore and Pittman, two No. 1 options with the latter in what should be an offense void of many elite weapons.

While you could argue that Higgins will excel while teammate Chase gets the bulk of double coverages, I would wait until the mid-to-late 4th. The value just isn’t there for the league’s best No. 2 receiver.

Additionally, the Bengals have 1 of the more difficult schedules and will play elite secondaries like Baltimore and Cleveland (both ranked as top-3 secondaries) at least twice each.

Higgins is going to get the snaps, and he could build off a successful 2nd season, but I don’t see him having a better season than many players around his ADP.

I would hang on and secure Higgins near the end of the 4th round if possible.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft Cincinnati Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase

Analyzing Cincinnati Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase’s 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

Cincinnati Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase was everything Bengals fans dreamed of last season.

After being selected 5th overall in the 2021 NFL Draft, fans were in suspense if the chemistry between Chase and his former LSU teammate, QB Joe Burrow, would continue.

Below, we look at Ja’Marr Chase‘s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him. Though Chase is coming off his rookie season, he already has an extensive resume.

Chase has Super Bowl and Pro Bowl appearances under his belt. On top of that, he was voted AP Offensive Rookie of the Year, PFWA Offensive Rookie of the Year, and Sporting News Rookie of the Year.

Ja’Marr Chase ADP: 9.65

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Chase has an ADP of 9.65 in redraft leagues, which puts him in the 1st round of draft picks, unless it’s an 8-team league or smaller. His ADP is the highest of all Cincinnati Bengals players.

Among wide receivers, Chase’s ADP puts him 3rd at the position, behind Justin Jefferson (Minnesota Vikings) and Cooper Kupp (Los Angeles Rams).

Chase places ahead of Davante Adams (Las Vegas Raiders) as well as his teammate Tee Higgins (37.29 ADP).

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Ja’Marr Chase’s 2021 stats

Games: 17

Receptions | targets: 81 | 128

Receiving yards: 1,455

Receiving touchdowns: 13

Where should you draft Chase?

Chase’s fantasy value is astronomical and rightfully so coming off one of the best rookie seasons in NFL history. Chase is expected to be the premier deep threat for a dynamic Bengals offense.

The offense should get even better with the addition of 2 veteran offensive linemen. The hope is that will free up more time for Burrow to connect with Chase, but it will also increase what RB Joe Mixon is capable of.

Chase is going to get all the snaps he can handle and should see well over 128 targets. However, with the Ravens and Browns, both top-3 secondaries, on the calendar for 4 of the 17 games, I would be hesitant to pick Chase in the top 10.

My favorite play would be Chase at 11 or 12 and then a top-tier running back like Lions RB D’Andre Swift in the early 2nd round.

While the potential is there, the boom-or-bust nature of Chase should dwindle as his popularity grows, and he sees increased coverage. He’s still a 1st-round pick, but I wouldn’t take him in the top 10.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft New England Patriots RB Damien Harris

Analyzing New England Patriots RB Damien Harris’ 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

New England Patriots RB Damien Harris will enters his 4th NFL season. He was the Patriots’ 3rd-round pick in the 2019 NFL Draft and is a Swiss army knife-type player.

Below, we look at Damien Harris’ 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

Harris had a tremendous 2021 season with 15 touchdowns (all from rushing). He totaled 18 receptions on 21 targets through 15 games with then-rookie QB Mac Jones leading the way.

Harris will be in a running back committee with Rhamondre Stevenson primarily. Rookie Pierre Strong may also garner a fair share of looks as the season progresses.

Damien Harris’ ADP: 81.94

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Harris has an ADP of 81.94 in redraft leagues. His ADP is the highest of any New England Patriots player this season.

Harris’ ADP is 29th among running backs, behind the likes of Green Bay Packers RB AJ Dillon, Kansas City Chiefs RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Philadelphia Eagles RB Miles Sanders, and Buffalo Bills RB Devin Singletary. Backfield mate Stevenson is the 36th RB off the board on average (102.23 overall).

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Damien Harris’ 2021 stats

Games: 15

Carries | rushing yards: 202 | 929

Rushing touchdowns: 15

Receptions | receiving yards: 18 | 132

Receiving touchdowns: 0

Where should you draft Harris?

Damien Harris is as his ADP shows — a low-end fantasy running back. However, in leagues with 2 running back spots and some flex positions, he could still have immense value in later rounds.

Harris’ potential could get a boost this season from the new offensive schemes the Patriots are implementing. but questions remain on if it could help the backs. Considering the limited role Harris is expected to have in the passing game you have to draft him with caution; however, he did rank 14th in PPR scoring last season.

Harris received 37% of the running back snaps last season, and with RB Brandon Bolden no longer on the roster (and now with Las Vegas), his 31% will be up for grabs. Harris has a chance to get above 40% of the snaps for Patriots backs.

With the unknown surrounding the use of backs in the new system, drafting Harris and hoping for steady production from a starting back of a slow-paced and well-coached team would make sense.

Harris is a solid 7th-round pick in a 12-team league, and I would even select him in the mid-to-late 6th round given his consistent production in a limited role last season.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft Cincinnati Bengals RB Joe Mixon

Analyzing Cincinnati Bengals RB Joe Mixon’s 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

Cincinnati Bengals RB Joe Mixon has been a consistent force on the squad since his arrival in 2017. Mixon, a 2nd-round pick in the 2017 NFL Draft out of Oklahoma, earned his 1st Pro Bowl appearance last season.

He also showed up big with rankings among his NFL peers. Mixon was 4th in 2021 for rushing touchdowns and 8th in yards from scrimmage.

Below, we look at Joe Mixon’s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP), where you should draft him and why his 2021 performance has set him up for a great 2022 season.

Joe Mixon’s ADP: 15.58

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Mixon has an ADP of 15.58 in redraft leagues, which puts him in the 2nd round of most drafts, depending on the size of your league. His ADP is lower than his teammate WR Ja’Marr Chase (9.65) though.

Among wide receivers, Mixon’s ADP puts him 7th at the position, behind the likes of RB Dalvin Cook (Minnesota Vikings), RB Najee Harris (Pittsburgh Steelers), and RB Derrick Henry (Tennessee Titans) and slightly ahead of RB D’Andre Swift (Detroit Tigers), and RB Nick Chubb (Cleveland Browns).

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Joe Mixon’s 2021 stats

Games: 16

Carries | rushing yards: 292 | 1,205

Rushing touchdowns: 13

Receptions | receiving yards: 42 | 314

Receiving touchdowns: 3

Where should you draft Mixon?

Mixon is set up perfectly for success.

The star back is going to have a drastically improved offensive line. The Bengals signed New England Patriots C Ted Karras, Tampa Bay Buccaneers RG Alex Cappa, and Dallas Cowboys T La’el Collins. All 3 are projected starters and should give Mixon a huge boost.

Mixon averaged 4.1 yards per carry and could break his 4.9 career high this season. He also sat 16th in receptions for running backs, so while not a top-10 receiving threat for the position, he’s still relatively active in the pass-catching game which helps as some leagues are a PPR format.

Mixon is properly priced here, and I would consider stretching into the early 2nd round.

Coupling him with Chase or Vikings WR Justin Jefferson with that late 1st-round pick should give any manager a dream start to their 2022 draft.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow

Analyzing Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow’s 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow‘s rookie season in 2020 fell flat after tearing his ACL in the Week 11 game against the Washington Football Team. Going into 2021, Burrow had a hunger inside of him that begged for a shot at redemption, and he got just that.

Below, we look at Joe Burrow’s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

Burrow and his 70.4% pass completion (the highest percentage in the 2021 season) led the Bengals to their first Super Bowl since 1989. Not impressive enough? He also did this despite taking 51 sacks. Burrow’s offensive line was less than ideal last season.

Joe Burrow’s ADP: 46.43

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Burrow has an ADP of 46.43 in redraft leagues, which puts him in the range of the late-4th round. His ADP is actually on the lower end of the Bengals stars as he is outranked by teammates WR Tee Higgins (37.29), RB Joe Mixon (15.58), and WR Ja’Marr Chase (9.65).

Among quarterbacks, Burrow’s ADP puts him 6th at the position, behind the likes of Kyler Murray (Arizona Cardinals), Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) and Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers), and slightly ahead of Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia Eagles) and Dak Prescott (Dallas Cowboys).

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Joe Burrow’s 2021 stats

Games: 16

Passing yards: 4,611

Completions | attempts: 366 | 520

Passing touchdowns: 34

Interceptions: 14

Carries | rushing yards: 40 | 118

Rushing touchdowns: 2

Where should you draft Burrow?

Burrow’s fantasy value this year feels perfect.

He’ll be a stable threat and should have a drastically improved offensive line with the Bengals inking Patriots C Ted Karras and RG Alex Cappa. Now, left guard could be a problem, but the team shored up left tackle with Cowboys’ La’el Collins.

They signed 3 starting linemen this summer. In general 12-team leagues, I’m not high on drafting a quarterback in the first 4 rounds, so I’d likely pass on Burrow, but in the early-to-mid 5th, he would be a great option.

Burrow has all the options (Higgins, Chase, WR Tyler Boyd) and should have a much-improved line.

The use of Mixon is a bit concerning, but with ample deep threats and a stacked line, Burrow should be a top-5 fantasy quarterback as he takes another leap in his 3rd season.

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