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The Houston Texans (7-5) and Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9) meet Sunday. Kickoff from EverBank Stadium is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Texans vs. Jaguars odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Texans have lost 3 of their last 4 games, but maintain a 2-game lead in the AFC South. They lost 32-27 to the Tennessee Titans in Week 12 as 8-point home favorites. QB C.J. Stroud finished 20-of-33 for 247 yards, with 2 TDs and 2 INTs.
The Jaguars return in Week 13 after a bye, looking to snap a 4-game losing streak. Their last game was a 52-6 blowout loss to the Detroit Lions in Week 11, failing to cover as 14-point underdogs as the Over 47.5 cashed. QB Mac Jones, starting for the injured QB Trevor Lawrence, went 17-of-29 for 138 yards with 1 INT. Jacksonville is last in the AFC South.
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Texans at Jaguars odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 6:55 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Texans -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Jaguars +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
- Against the spread (ATS): Texans -3.5 (-110) | Jaguars +3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 44 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Texans at Jaguars key injuries
Texans
- DT Foley Fatukasi (foot) out
- S Jalen Pitre (foot) out
- WR Xavier Hutchinson (shoulder) questionable
Jaguars
- LB Yasir Abdullah (shin) questionable
- QB Trevor Lawrence (hamstring) questionable
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Texans at Jaguars picks and predictions
Prediction
Texans 35, Jaguars 13
Moneyline
PASS.
The Texans (-190) will handle their business in Jacksonville, but I’d rather bet them to cover the spread than wager nearly 2 units on the moneyline.
Against the spread
BET TEXANS -3.5 (-110).
I’m surprised to see the line move in Jacksonville’s favor, especially after their blowout loss to Detroit before the bye. Bettors seem to be banking on the Jaguars rebounding, considering Lawrence’s likely return and their competitive effort against Houston in Week 4.
However, the Texans desperately need this win to regain momentum after losing 3 of their last 4 games. Fully healthy, Houston boasts one of the league’s best offensive duos in RB Joe Mixon and WR Nico Collins. The Texans have covered in 2 of their last 3 games and should be locked in against a Jaguars team now playing for pride.
Look for the Texans to reassert themselves as AFC contenders with a decisive win on Sunday.
Over/Under
BET OVER 44 (-110)
The total is set at 44, conveniently matching the 24-20 result from their first meeting, but I’m looking past that. Jacksonville has hit the Over in 6 of their last 7 games, while Houston is 2-0-1 against the Over in their last 3.
Stroud and the Texans will air it out, even with Mixon anchoring the ground game. Facing Jacksonville’s NFL-worst pass defense (278.3 yards per game), Stroud should exploit their secondary, connecting with Collins on at least one deep shot.
The Jaguars also allow 28.7 PPG, second-worst in the league, and have given up 30.7 PPG over their last 3. With Houston poised for a big offensive performance, Jacksonville will only need 10-13 points to push this total Over. Expect fireworks in this game.
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