Toledo 21, Liberty 19 Boca Raton Bowl What Happened, What It All Means

Toledo 21, Liberty 19: RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl what happened, player of the game, and what it all means

Toledo beat Liberty 21-19 to win the RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl. What happened, who was the player of the game, and what does it all mean?


Toledo 21, Liberty 19 RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl What Happened, Player of the Game, What It All Means

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RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl What Happened

Toledo overcame a 7-0 deficit by getting the ground game going on a 21-point run, and then hung on late for the Boca Raton Bowl win. Shedro Louis got it all started with a nine-yard scoring run for the Flames, but Thomas Cluckey hit two field goals and QB Dequan Finn ran for a score and threw a short touchdown pass to put the Rockets in the lead for good.

– Liberty made it interesting. Trebon Sibley caught a 29-yard touchdown pass, but the extra point went wide – that mattered. On a trick play, tight end CJ Daniels took a double pass 67 yards for a touchdown in the final minutes, but down 21-19 Liberty had to go for two, didn’t connect, and Toledo was able to grind out the clock.

– The weather mattered. It started raining early on, and that made it come down to getting physical on the offensive line. Liberty owned the tempo early, and then it all flipped as the Toledo offense was able to grind it out the rest of the way. The Flame defense couldn’t get off the field.

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RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl Player of the Game

Durrell Johnson, DE Liberty 
In a losing cause, the veteran end got banged up, but he still made nine tackles  seven of them solo – with a sack and five tackles for loss.

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RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl Fun Stats

– Toledo RB Jacquez Stuart took over with a physical 23 carries for 111 yards averaging close to five yards per carry.

– Liberty LB Mike Smith made a game-high 16 stops with half a sack and two tackles for loss.The Flames came up with a total of 12 tackles for loss.

– Time of Possession: Toledo 40:03 – Liberty 19:57. The Rockets converted 10-of-17 third down chances. Liberty converted 2-of-8 tries.

RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl What It All Means

This was massive for the Jason Candle era. Not only did his Rockets win the MAC Championship, but it came up with nine wins for the best season since his 11-win run in 2017.

It was also the first bowl win – Candle was 0-4 after winning his first game in the 2015 Boca Raton in an interim status – in the last seven years. His team was getting beaten up early, got more physical, and was able to pull it off in the rain.

It was a brutal end to the season for a Liberty team that looked to be in the mix for a New Year’s Six game as late as November 12th. And then it all collapsed with a four-game losing streak to close. The team did what it could under rough coaching circumstances, but it fought well in this and had a chance to tie it up late.

Even so, it was still the fifth season in five in the FBS without a losing campaign, it was still a fourth straight year with eight wins or more, and while it might have been the first bowl loss in the FBS, it wasn’t a horrible performance. Now it’s on to the Jamey Chadwell era.

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Liberty vs Toledo RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl Prediction Game Preview

Liberty vs Toledo game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl on Tuesday, December 20

Liberty vs Toledo prediction, game preview, odds, how to watch. RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl, Tuesday, December 20


Liberty vs Toledo RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl Prediction Game Preview

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Liberty vs Toledo How To Watch

Date: Tuesday, December 20
Game Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: FAU Stadium, Boca Raton, FL
How To Watch: ESPN
Record: Liberty (8-4), Toledo (8-5)
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Liberty vs Toledo RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl 5 Things To Know

RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl Prediction, What’s Going To Happen, History

Liberty is in a transitional phase. It ended the regular season with a thud after starting 8-1, losing its last three games including an embarrassing 49-14 home whacking from New Mexico State.

Head coach Hugh Freeze bolted for Auburn, and now the program is waiting to get the former Coastal Carolina head man Jamey Chadwell’s era going. Josh Aldridge will be the interim head coach, there are plenty of great parts in place, and there’s still firepower.

Toledo wasn’t perfect, it had a whole lot of turnover problems, and it struggled late in the regular season as it limped into the MAC Championship. One terrific defensive performance against Ohio later in a 17-7 win, and head coach Jason Candle has his second conference title in six season. Now …

He and Toledo need to win a bowl game. Candle stepped in as an interim head man in the 2015 Boca Raton Bowl, and Toledo pulled off the 32-17 win over Temple. That’s been it for the bowl fun going 0-4 since then including a 31-24 Bahamas loss to Middle Tennessee last year. The team was able to keep it close in three of the losses, but that’s not enough – winning this matters.

Liberty has been perfect in the bowls. Hugh Freeze took the Flames to three straight bowls and it won all three, with last year’s LendingTree 56-20 win over Eastern Michigan the most dominant of the group. Again, this season’s bowl version is going through some changes, but the program knows how to get up for these.

If nothing else, the Boca Raton bowls have put on some great offensive shows. They haven’t been all that close – none of the eight were decided by fewer than 15 points – but the winning side hung up 50 points or more four times and 32 or more in the other four.

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Why Liberty Will Win The RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl

The pass rush continues to be devastating.

The offense might have slipped late, and the team completely lost its focus, but it’s still bringing one of the nation’s most dangerous defensive fronts that leads the nation in tackles for loss and is fourth in sacks. That’s a huge problem for Toledo.

The Rocket offensive line isn’t awful in pass protection, but it allows close to seven tackles for loss per game. That’s a concern, and the bigger one is a case of the turnovers that almost crushed the end of the regular season.

Toledo didn’t turn it over in the MAC Championship win over Ohio, but before that it gave it away 16 times in the previous five games.

That’s all fine, but what’s the problem with Liberty? There were a whole lot of injures, but the passing game still managed to finish with 200 yards or more in ever game but a win over Akron, the rushing attack is good enough to get to 200, and …

Why Toledo Will Win The RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl

Liberty has bigger turnover problems than Toledo.

The Rocket miscues came in a late flurry, but Liberty has cranked out a steady stream of screwups with two or more in nine of the 12 games. They haven’t always been lethal – the mistakes are baked into the cake – but the defense doesn’t come up with a ton of takeaways.

At the very least, Toledo probably won’t get hurt if it starts giving the ball away, especially if its secondary can come up with its usual pick or two.

Offensively, the Rockets need to run well. They have a good group to work into the rotation, QB Dequan Finn is dangerous no matter what he does, and the team is 5-0 when running for 225 yards or more.

What was Liberty’s biggest problem over the rough last stretch? The run defense went bye-bye – allowing almost 600 yards and 11 touchdowns in the last three games.

RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl Prediction, What’s Going To Happen, History

NEXT: What’s Going To Happen, Liberty vs Toledo Prediction, RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl History

Virginia Tech at Liberty Prediction Game Preview

Virginia Tech at Liberty game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 12 game on Saturday, November 19

Virginia Tech at Liberty prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 12, Saturday, November 19


Virginia Tech at Liberty Prediction, Game Preview

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Virginia Tech vs Liberty How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 19
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Williams Stadium, Lynchburg, VA
How To Watch: ESPN+
Record: Virginia Tech (2-8), Liberty (8-2)
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Why Virginia Tech Will Win

It’s not like the Hokies are getting wiped out.

They’re losing – seven in a row after starting the season 2-1 – but they were in most of the games with four of the losses by six points or fewer.

They’re failing to come up with the big plays at the right times to push through, but the defensive front hasn’t been bad against the run and the offense is getting its chances.

The Hokies haven’t allowed more than 28 points in over a month, and now they need a few breaks. That’s a problem because …

Bowl Projections

Why Liberty Will Win

The Hokies don’t create their own breaks.

They’ve managed just seven takeaways on the year with a mere four over the last eight games. The offense isn’t good at going on long drives, third down conversions are a struggle, and the team isn’t able to control the time of possession battle to settle everything down.

Liberty turns it over a lot, but it takes it away a ton, too – it cleans up its messes. It’s got the defensive front to be disruptive and force mistakes, the pass rush should dominate the Hokies offensive front, and the secondary should have a decent day.

Virginia Tech is 0-8 when it fails to complete 64% of its passes. Only UConn and UAB were able to hit that mark against the Liberty defense.

Schedules, Predictions CollegeNFL

What’s Going To Happen

Virginia Tech will struggle to consistently score, but it’ll hang around in this just enough to make it interesting into the fourth quarter.

Liberty’s defense will clamp down in the fourth quarter, the running game will take over when it has to, and the loss to UConn last week will be put in the rearview mirror.

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Virginia Tech at Liberty Prediction, Line

Liberty 24, Virginia Tech 16
Line: Liberty -9.5, o/u: 46.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Virginia Tech at Liberty Must See Rating (out of 5): 2.5

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Liberty vs UConn Prediction Game Preview

Liberty vs UConn game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 11 game on Saturday, November 12

Liberty vs UConn prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 11, Saturday, November 12


Liberty vs UConn How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 12
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Pratt & Whitney Stadium, East Hartford, CT
How To Watch: CBS Sports Network
Record: Liberty (8-1), UConn (5-5)
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Liberty vs UConn Game Preview

Why Liberty Will Win

The passing game continues to be steady.

It might not be all that explosive, and it might not be consistent, but it’s going to come up with at least 220 yards getting out of the locker room. Against the UConn secondary, it’s should be able to connect for at least 65% of its throws and keep everything moving.

The run defense has been a rock. It held Arkansas to 144 yards in the 21-19 win, it hasn’t allowed more than 150 yards in any of the last seven games, and UConn can’t win if it doesn’t control the game on the ground.

But …

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Why UConn Will Win

Liberty plays to the level of its competition.

It rose up and rocked against BYU and Arkansas, and it struggled against Gardner-Webb and – for a wee bit – against UMass and Akron.

UConn might not have cranked up the offense against UMass, but it came up with the 27-10 win, it’s been able to win four of the last five  – including against Fresno State – by generating 14 takeaways during the stretch, and Liberty has had its turnover issues at times this season.

Schedules, Predictions CollegeNFL

What’s Going To Happen

Liberty is weird.

It might be 8-1, and it might be pulling off big wins, but it turns it over way too much, the offensive line isn’t that great, and it keeps on rolling.

UConn is 4-1 at home and 1-4 on the road, but it’ll give up just enough through the air to come up short.

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Liberty vs UConn Prediction, Line

Liberty 31, UConn 17
Line: Liberty -14.5, o/u: 45.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
Liberty vs UConn Must See Rating (out of 5): 2.5
Predictions of Every Game

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Arkansas vs Liberty Prediction Game Preview

Arkansas vs Liberty game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 10 game on Saturday, November 5

Arkansas vs Liberty prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 10, Saturday, November 5


Arkansas vs Liberty How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 5
Game Time: 4:00 ET
Venue: Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR
How To Watch: SEC Network
Record: Arkansas (5-3), Liberty (7-1)
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Arkansas vs Liberty Game Preview

Why Liberty Will Win

This continues to be the goldfish team – it gets as big as its bowl. (Okay, so that goldfish thing is actually a myth, but work with me.)

It plays Gardner-Webb, it struggles. It plays Akron, it struggles. It plays Wake Forest, it almost pulls off a thriller. It plays BYU last week, and one 41-14 win later the team is 7-1 and rolling right along.

The offense has been inconsistent – it came up with its best performance of the year last week with the ground game ripping off 300 yards – but the defense has been amazing on third downs, the pass rush is incredible, and this group has the ability to take the ball away in bunches.

It also has the ability to rise to the moment as the underdog team with nothing to lose, but …

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Why Arkansas Will Win

Arkansas is a whole different rushing animal.

The defense might be in for a rough day against the Flames – it has rough days against everyone – but the consistent offense with the second-best ground game in the SEC is tearing off yards in chunks.

It has to rely on the offensive line right away against a Liberty defensive front that held up against BYU and solved the problems against the run. It started out with two rough outings against Southern Miss and UAB, got stronger, and it should be okay, but the Hogs can throw, too.

Arkansas beat BYU the week before Liberty did, with KJ Jefferson throwing at will and the running game averaging 6.6 yards per carry.

The balanced attack should be enough, but …

Schedules, Predictions CollegeNFL

What’s Going To Happen

Can the Hogs force takeaways? They’re 3-0 when forcing multiple turnovers but only came up with a total of one in the other five games.

Liberty will give it up a few times because that’s what it does. It’ll hang around and make this a tough fight – the defensive front will be okay – but Jefferson will hit his throws in the second half to ease the tension.

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Arkansas vs Liberty Prediction, Line

Arkansas 38, Liberty 24
Line: Arkansas -13.5, o/u: 63.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Arkansas vs Liberty Must See Rating (out of 5): 3
Predictions of Every Game

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BYU vs Liberty Prediction, Game Preview

BYU vs Liberty game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 8 game on Saturday, October 22

BYU vs Liberty prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 8, Saturday, October 22


BYU vs Liberty How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 22
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Williams Stadium, Lynchburg, VA
How To Watch: ESPNU
Record: BYU (4-3), Liberty (6-1)
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BYU vs Liberty Game Preview

Why BYU Will Win

BYU might not be having the season it wanted to have, but it was able to get by Baylor but couldn’t keep up in losses to Notre Dame and Arkansas.

That doesn’t mean it’s not good.

The passing game was strong against the Hogs, the running game was good against the Irish, and it should all work just fine against the Liberty defense.

The Flames might have stuffed the Wake Forest running game, but it hasn’t been tested by lines like BYU is about to bring.

On the other side, Liberty struggles to convert third down tries, there are way too many interceptions and too many turnovers, and …

NFL Expert Picks, Week 7

Why Liberty Will Win

Liberty is a goldfish team – it gets as big or stays as small as the bowl.

It played great in a 37-36 loss to Wake Forest when the run defense showed up large and the offense clicked. It struggled to put away Gardner-Webb with a 21-20 win thanks to turnovers, and it took a fight to get by Akron and UMass.

However, the Flames find ways to win.

The defense is brilliant at coming up with picks helped by one of the nation’s best pass rushes. The defensive front is extremely active, the offensive side doesn’t have to worry about any sort of a pass rush from BYU, and …

– Game Previews, Predictions CollegeNFL

What’s Going To Happen

BYU needs to bring its offensive balance all while keeping the turnovers to a minimum. That’s where it’ll pull this off.

The three giveaways against Arkansas was off brand for an offense that turned it over just three times in the previous six games.

Liberty will be jacked up at home and take its game up a few notches to keep this close, but it won’t get the takeaways needed to go along with a big day from the running game.

College Football Expert Picks, Week 8

BYU vs Liberty Prediction, Line

BYU 30, Liberty 24
Line: BYU -7, o/u: 58
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
BYU vs Liberty Must See Rating (out of 5): 3
Predictions of Every Game

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Liberty vs Gardner-Webb Prediction, Game Preview

Liberty vs Gardner-Webb game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 7 game on Saturday, October 15

Liberty vs Gardner-Webb prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 7, Saturday, October 15


Liberty vs Gardner-Webb How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 15
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Williams Stadium, Lynchburg, VA
How To Watch: ESPN+
Record: Liberty (5-1), Gardner-Webb (2-4)
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Liberty vs Gardner-Webb Game Preview

Why Gardner-Webb Will Win

Don’t be fooled by the 2-4 record; Gardner-Webb will battle.

The offense has one of the Big South’s best passing attacks, the running game isn’t too bad, and the defense is strong enough on third downs to get off the field in a hurry.

The pass rush is dangerous enough to bother a Liberty passing game that’s okay, but isn’t consistent and isn’t accurate. As long as the Runnin’ Bulldogs are able to grind it out a bit and keep the Liberty offense off the field, they’ll be in this late.

They gave Coastal Carolina a hard time and weren’t too awful in the loss to Marshall, and …

NFL Expert Picks, Week 6

Why Liberty Will Win

Liberty just keeps on winning.

It isn’t as dangerous as it was when Malik Willis was doing his thing, but it’s not losing the turnover battle, and the defense has been excellent at getting off the field at just the right time. The big pass plays are there even if the accuracy isn’t, and it should all work against a Gardner-Webb defense that isn’t bad, but can be pushed.

As long as Liberty is balanced and averaging close to five yards per carry, it’ll be fine.

– Schedules, Previews CollegeNFL

What’s Going To Happen

Liberty hasn’t always been great against the mediocre teams, but it manages to get through without any trouble. It’ll be in for a battle for a half, but the offense will start to pull away as the Gardner-Webb offense stalls in too many key spots.

College Football Expert Picks, Week 7

Liberty vs Gardner-Webb Prediction, Line

Liberty 38, Gardner-Webb 14
Line: Liberty -23.5, o/u: 55.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5
Liberty vs Gardner-Webb Must See Rating (out of 5): 1.5
Predictions of Every Game

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Liberty vs UMass Prediction, Game Preview

Liberty vs UMass game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 6 game on Saturday, October 8

Liberty vs UMass prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 6, Saturday, October 8


Liberty vs UMass How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 8
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, Amherst, MA
How To Watch: ESPN+
Record: Liberty (4-1), UMass (1-4)
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College Football Week 5 Roundup
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Liberty vs UMass Game Preview

Why UMass Will Win

The running game continues to do just enough to matter.

That’s partly because the passing attack doesn’t do much of anything – the O is all about the ground game and trying to hold up defensively – but the team is able to hold on the ball for long stretches.

Own the time of possession, hope the defense can keep on taking the ball away with nine takeaways in the last three games, and …

NFL Expert Picks, Week 5

Why Liberty Will Win

UMass doesn’t score.

It’s averaging fewer than ten points per game against FBS teams and hasn’t hit the 14 point mark yet against any of them – the 20-3 win over Stony Brook from the FCS counts as an offensive explosion.

The Liberty run defense is good enough, there’s zero fear of any sort of a passing game, and as long as the offense can be far, far more careful with the ball than it’s been so far – 12 turnovers in five games are too many – there won’t be any real concerns.

This will be over very, very fast if …

– Schedules, Previews CollegeNFL

What’s Going To Happen

Turnovers. If the Liberty D starts coming up with takeaways and if it can get up right away, UMass has no ability to come back.

Liberty will win the field position battle in the first half, score off the chances, and coast in the second half.

CFN Expert Picks, Week 6

Liberty vs UMass Prediction, Line

Liberty 38, UMass 10
Line: Liberty -24, o/u: 47
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3.5
Liberty vs UMass Must See Rating (out of 5): 2
Predictions of Every Game

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Liberty vs Old Dominion Prediction, Game Preview

Liberty vs Old Dominion game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 5 game on Saturday, October 1

Liberty vs Old Dominion prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 5, Saturday, October 1


Liberty vs Old Dominion How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 1
Game Time: 6:00 ET
Venue: SD Ballard Stadium, Norfolk, VA
How To Watch: ESPN+
Record: Liberty (3-1), Old Dominion (2-2)
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Roundup: Overrated, Underrated, What it all Means
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What 12-Team Playoff Would Look Like
Hot Seat Coach Rankings after Week 4
Think, Know, Believe: Football Smack Talk
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Liberty vs Old Dominion Game Preview

Why Liberty Will Win

The Flames might not seem like the high-powered fun show of the last few years, but they pushed Wake Forest in a 37-36 loss, came up with two solid victories over Southern Miss and UAB, and last week got by Akron in a 21-12 weird game hen things didn’t work quite right.

The pass rush is getting the job done time and again, and it should be a big bother to an Old Dominion offensive line that’s having major problems in pass protection.

The Monarch offense is the worst in America on third downs, there’s no push for the running game, and …

NFL Expert Picks, Week 4

Why Old Dominion Will Win

Despite a whole slew of problems, the team hasn’t been all that bad.

It beat Virginia Tech and got by Arkansas State, it pushed Virginia in a low-scoring fight, and lost on the road at East Carolina. It’s a different team in SD Ballard, and that starts with cranking up its own pass rush.

The ODU line might be struggling a bit, but the style of the Liberty offense give up a slew of plays in the backfield. The Monarchs are among the best in the Sun Belt at generating big things behind the line, Liberty is awful on third downs, and …

– Schedules, Previews CollegeNFL

What’s Going To Happen

This is going to be fun.

These are sausage teams – don’t ask how they’re made, just enjoy.

Both defensive fronts will take over at times, both will have penalty issues, and both will manage to turn it over a few times, just because.

However, Liberty will be more balanced, it’ll get something out of its running attack, and in a game that might not be that pretty, it should be entertaining in its own way up until the very end.

CFN Expert Picks, Week 5

Liberty vs Old Dominion Prediction, Line

Liberty 24, Old Dominion 20
Line: Liberty -3.5, o/u: 42.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5
Liberty vs Old Dominion Must See Rating (out of 5): 3

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Liberty at Akron Prediction, Game Preview

Liberty at Akron game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 4 game on Saturday, September 24

Liberty at Akron prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 4, Saturday, September 24


Liberty vs Akron How To Watch

Date: Saturday, September 24
Game Time: 6:00 ET
Venue: Williams Stadium, Lynchburg, VA
How To Watch: ESPN+
Record: Liberty (2-1), Akron (1-2)
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Liberty at Akron Game Preview

Why Akron Will Win

Akron couldn’t do much of anything against Tennessee and Michigan State, but that’s hardly indicative of what the team is able to do.

Fumbles were a problem against the Spartans, but the passing game has yet to throw a pick, and Liberty has been living off takeaways.

The Flames don’t have the explosiveness of past teams, the offensive line is allowing way too many plays in the backfield, and turnovers and penalties are a big problem so far.

But …

CFN Expert Picks, Week 4

Why Liberty Will Win

Akron hasn’t shown much of an ability to do anything.

Liberty lost to Wake Forest, but it was a 37-36 fight. Akron wasn’t able to get the running game going in any way against Michigan State or Tennessee.

Liberty might have issues with turnovers, but it’s making up for them with 11 takeaways in the three games, and the run defense held up against the Demon Deacons last week.

If if Akron starts to play better, it doesn’t have the firepower to blow up – the O was just okay in the win over Saint Francis.

As long as the Flames can be just okay on the offensive line, everything should be okay.

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What’s Going To Happen

Liberty will finally have an easy game.

All three so far were close calls, and now it’ll be able to get the offensive balance going right away and Akron won’t have the ability to keep up.

The Flames will keep struggling with turnovers, but they’ll still win the battle – Akron will turn it over more.

NFL Expert Picks, Week 3

Liberty at Akron Prediction, Line

Liberty 44, Akron 10
Line: Liberty -26.5, o/u: 53.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Liberty at Akron Must See Rating (out of 5): 2

College coaches all over America this week are raising awareness and research dollars for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy, a progressive genetic disorder that takes the lives of young men. Fans can donate to Coach To Cure MD online or by texting the word CURE to 501501 to give $25.

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